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          "type": "single",
          "value": "expert-money-not-spending-enough",
          "question_id": "expert-money-alignment"
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        },
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          "question_id": "expert-content-creators"
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        },
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            "capability-companion",
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        },
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            "expert-self-replication-cellular-automata",
            "expert-self-replication-software",
            "expert-self-replication-von-neumann-probe"
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        },
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          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
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        },
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            "medium-vulnerabilities-mitm",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-insider-threat",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-zero-day",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-injection",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-prompt-injection",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-sleeper-agent",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-data-poisoning",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-adversarial",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-model-stealing",
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          "question_id": "medium-off-the-rails"
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          "question_id": "medium-governance"
        },
        {
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          "question_id": "medium-speed"
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      ]
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        {
          "key": "dangerousBehavior",
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        {
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      ],
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            "entertainment-starwars",
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        },
        {
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            "catastrophe-pandemic",
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            "catastrophe-weaponofmassdestruction",
            "catastrophe-xriskai",
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            "catastrophe-unknownunknowns"
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          "question_id": "beginner-catastrophes"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "capability-companion",
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          "question_id": "beginner-capability"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "control-impossible",
          "question_id": "beginner-control"
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      ]
    },
    {
      "submitted_at": "2026-03-21T21:54:24.142+00:00",
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        {
          "key": "dangerousBehavior",
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      "quiz_answers": [
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "entertainment-matrix",
            "entertainment-terminator",
            "entertainment-blade-runner",
            "entertainment-judgedredd",
            "entertainment-robocop",
            "entertainment-trumanshow"
          ],
          "question_id": "beginner-entertainment"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "catastrophe-supervulcano",
            "catastrophe-impactevent",
            "catastrophe-pandemic",
            "catastrophe-climatechange",
            "catastrophe-nuclearwar",
            "catastrophe-weaponofmassdestruction",
            "catastrophe-xriskai",
            "catastrophe-sriskai"
          ],
          "question_id": "beginner-catastrophes"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "capability-mass-surveillance",
            "capability-propaganda"
          ],
          "question_id": "beginner-capability"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "control-impossible",
          "question_id": "beginner-control"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "submitted_at": "2026-03-22T02:39:19.249+00:00",
      "summary": {
        "p10": 0.14724159292561323,
        "p90": 0.4380863646542359,
        "lower": 0.06945107270094875,
        "upper": 0.67968965827786,
        "midpoint": 0.3322223110593893
      },
      "factors": [
        {
          "key": "powerfulAi",
          "label": "P(powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.25968965827785995,
          "upper": 0.67968965827786,
          "spread": 0.21,
          "midpoint": 0.4696896582778599
        },
        {
          "key": "dangerousBehavior",
          "label": "P(dangerous behavior | powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.34732302745923477,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.36,
          "midpoint": 0.7073230274592348
        },
        {
          "key": "globalCatastrophe",
          "label": "P(global catastrophe | dangerous behavior)",
          "lower": 0.77,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.23,
          "midpoint": 1
        }
      ],
      "quiz_flow_id": "expert",
      "quiz_answers": [
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-continuous-learning-rag",
            "expert-continuous-learning-tool-based",
            "expert-continuous-learning-finetuning"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-continuous-learning"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-self-improvement-prompting",
            "expert-self-improvement-coding",
            "expert-self-improvement-synthetic-data",
            "expert-self-improvement-rewrite-itself"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-self-improvement"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-self-replication-biology",
            "expert-self-replication-cellular-automata",
            "expert-self-replication-software",
            "expert-self-replication-3d-printing",
            "expert-self-replication-von-neumann-probe"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-self-replication"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-campaign-organisations-pauseai",
            "expert-campaign-organisations-controlai"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-campaign-organisations"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-research-organisations-aisi",
            "expert-research-organisations-redwood-research"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-research-organisations"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-commentators-doom-debates",
            "expert-commentators-dont-worry-about-the-vase"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-commentators"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-content-creators-robert-miles",
            "expert-content-creators-siliconversations",
            "expert-content-creators-rational-animations"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-content-creators"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "expert-money-not-spending-enough",
          "question_id": "expert-money-alignment"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "submitted_at": "2026-03-25T14:23:49.202+00:00",
      "summary": {
        "p10": 0.08103787774961475,
        "p90": 0.5303751958150069,
        "lower": 0.015927911999999992,
        "upper": 0.963,
        "midpoint": 0.5373677969999999
      },
      "factors": [
        {
          "key": "powerfulAi",
          "label": "P(powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.6629999999999999,
          "upper": 0.963,
          "spread": 0.15,
          "midpoint": 0.813
        },
        {
          "key": "dangerousBehavior",
          "label": "P(dangerous behavior | powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.27299999999999996,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.54,
          "midpoint": 0.813
        },
        {
          "key": "globalCatastrophe",
          "label": "P(global catastrophe | dangerous behavior)",
          "lower": 0.08799999999999997,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.725,
          "midpoint": 0.813
        }
      ],
      "quiz_flow_id": "beginner",
      "quiz_answers": [
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "entertainment-matrix",
            "entertainment-terminator",
            "entertainment-blade-runner",
            "entertainment-alien",
            "entertainment-irobot",
            "entertainment-startrek",
            "entertainment-starwars",
            "entertainment-judgedredd",
            "entertainment-robocop",
            "entertainment-wall-e",
            "entertainment-portal"
          ],
          "question_id": "beginner-entertainment"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "catastrophe-supervulcano",
            "catastrophe-supernova",
            "catastrophe-impactevent",
            "catastrophe-geomagneticstorm",
            "catastrophe-pandemic",
            "catastrophe-climatechange",
            "catastrophe-nuclearwar",
            "catastrophe-weaponofmassdestruction",
            "catastrophe-xriskai"
          ],
          "question_id": "beginner-catastrophes"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "capability-companion",
            "capability-warfare",
            "capability-programming",
            "capability-mass-surveillance",
            "capability-trading",
            "capability-research",
            "capability-propaganda"
          ],
          "question_id": "beginner-capability"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "control-medium",
          "question_id": "beginner-control"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "submitted_at": "2026-04-04T01:20:09.673+00:00",
      "summary": {
        "p10": 0.3240891432673405,
        "p90": 0.6463715098993815,
        "lower": 0.20901700308084756,
        "upper": 0.8953158986829817,
        "midpoint": 0.48993825266794594
      },
      "factors": [
        {
          "key": "powerfulAi",
          "label": "P(powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.5953158986829817,
          "upper": 0.8953158986829817,
          "spread": 0.15,
          "midpoint": 0.7453158986829816
        },
        {
          "key": "dangerousBehavior",
          "label": "P(dangerous behavior | powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.46192972015815514,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.285,
          "midpoint": 0.7469297201581552
        },
        {
          "key": "globalCatastrophe",
          "label": "P(global catastrophe | dangerous behavior)",
          "lower": 0.7600781185932713,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.12,
          "midpoint": 0.8800781185932713
        }
      ],
      "quiz_flow_id": "medium",
      "quiz_answers": [
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "medium-vulnerabilities-phishing",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-social-engineering",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-malware",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-ransomware",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-mitm",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-insider-threat",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-zero-day",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-injection",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-sleeper-agent",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-obfuscation"
          ],
          "question_id": "medium-vulnerabilities"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-system-prompts-none",
          "question_id": "medium-system-prompts"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-off-the-rails-high",
          "question_id": "medium-off-the-rails"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-competition-negative",
          "question_id": "medium-competition"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-governance-neutral",
          "question_id": "medium-governance"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-speed-risk",
          "question_id": "medium-speed"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "submitted_at": "2026-04-05T03:35:17.952+00:00",
      "summary": {
        "p10": 0.05178502522014745,
        "p90": 0.6084585394752214,
        "lower": 0.0039463490000000104,
        "upper": 0.9790000000000001,
        "midpoint": 0.9383137390000003
      },
      "factors": [
        {
          "key": "powerfulAi",
          "label": "P(powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.13900000000000007,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.84,
          "midpoint": 0.9790000000000001
        },
        {
          "key": "dangerousBehavior",
          "label": "P(dangerous behavior | powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.9790000000000001,
          "upper": 0.9790000000000001,
          "spread": 0,
          "midpoint": 0.9790000000000001
        },
        {
          "key": "globalCatastrophe",
          "label": "P(global catastrophe | dangerous behavior)",
          "lower": 0.029000000000000057,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.95,
          "midpoint": 0.9790000000000001
        }
      ],
      "quiz_flow_id": "medium",
      "quiz_answers": [
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "medium-vulnerabilities-phishing",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-social-engineering",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-malware",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-ransomware",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-supply-chain",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-mitm",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-insider-threat",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-zero-day",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-injection",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-prompt-injection",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-sleeper-agent",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-data-poisoning",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-adversarial",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-model-stealing",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-obfuscation",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-side-channel"
          ],
          "question_id": "medium-vulnerabilities"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-system-prompts-medium",
          "question_id": "medium-system-prompts"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-off-the-rails-never",
          "question_id": "medium-off-the-rails"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-competition-negative",
          "question_id": "medium-competition"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-governance-no",
          "question_id": "medium-governance"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-speed-risk",
          "question_id": "medium-speed"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "submitted_at": "2026-04-12T20:55:40.796+00:00",
      "summary": {
        "p10": 0.1401531534660244,
        "p90": 0.5258034829682242,
        "lower": 0.04549929299999999,
        "upper": 1,
        "midpoint": 0.5177816269999999
      },
      "factors": [
        {
          "key": "powerfulAi",
          "label": "P(powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.357,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.446,
          "midpoint": 0.8029999999999999
        },
        {
          "key": "dangerousBehavior",
          "label": "P(dangerous behavior | powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.357,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.446,
          "midpoint": 0.8029999999999999
        },
        {
          "key": "globalCatastrophe",
          "label": "P(global catastrophe | dangerous behavior)",
          "lower": 0.357,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.446,
          "midpoint": 0.8029999999999999
        }
      ],
      "quiz_flow_id": "beginner",
      "quiz_answers": [
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "entertainment-matrix",
            "entertainment-terminator",
            "entertainment-irobot",
            "entertainment-her",
            "entertainment-startrek",
            "entertainment-starwars",
            "entertainment-wall-e"
          ],
          "question_id": "beginner-entertainment"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "catastrophe-supervulcano",
            "catastrophe-impactevent",
            "catastrophe-geomagneticstorm",
            "catastrophe-pandemic",
            "catastrophe-nuclearwar",
            "catastrophe-weaponofmassdestruction",
            "catastrophe-xriskai",
            "catastrophe-sriskai",
            "catastrophe-unknownunknowns"
          ],
          "question_id": "beginner-catastrophes"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "capability-warfare",
            "capability-programming",
            "capability-mass-surveillance",
            "capability-trading",
            "capability-research",
            "capability-propaganda"
          ],
          "question_id": "beginner-capability"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "control-medium",
          "question_id": "beginner-control"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "submitted_at": "2026-04-12T20:55:44.131+00:00",
      "summary": {
        "p10": 0.1401531534660244,
        "p90": 0.5258034829682242,
        "lower": 0.04549929299999999,
        "upper": 1,
        "midpoint": 0.5177816269999999
      },
      "factors": [
        {
          "key": "powerfulAi",
          "label": "P(powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.357,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.446,
          "midpoint": 0.8029999999999999
        },
        {
          "key": "dangerousBehavior",
          "label": "P(dangerous behavior | powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.357,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.446,
          "midpoint": 0.8029999999999999
        },
        {
          "key": "globalCatastrophe",
          "label": "P(global catastrophe | dangerous behavior)",
          "lower": 0.357,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.446,
          "midpoint": 0.8029999999999999
        }
      ],
      "quiz_flow_id": "beginner",
      "quiz_answers": [
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "entertainment-matrix",
            "entertainment-terminator",
            "entertainment-irobot",
            "entertainment-her",
            "entertainment-startrek",
            "entertainment-starwars",
            "entertainment-wall-e"
          ],
          "question_id": "beginner-entertainment"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "catastrophe-supervulcano",
            "catastrophe-impactevent",
            "catastrophe-geomagneticstorm",
            "catastrophe-pandemic",
            "catastrophe-nuclearwar",
            "catastrophe-weaponofmassdestruction",
            "catastrophe-xriskai",
            "catastrophe-sriskai",
            "catastrophe-unknownunknowns"
          ],
          "question_id": "beginner-catastrophes"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "capability-warfare",
            "capability-programming",
            "capability-mass-surveillance",
            "capability-trading",
            "capability-research",
            "capability-propaganda"
          ],
          "question_id": "beginner-capability"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "control-medium",
          "question_id": "beginner-control"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "submitted_at": "2026-04-13T07:16:30.788+00:00",
      "summary": {
        "p10": 0.18353115583245327,
        "p90": 0.5650147837443915,
        "lower": 0.07356005900000001,
        "upper": 1,
        "midpoint": 0.7888890240000002
      },
      "factors": [
        {
          "key": "powerfulAi",
          "label": "P(powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.41900000000000004,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.505,
          "midpoint": 0.924
        },
        {
          "key": "dangerousBehavior",
          "label": "P(dangerous behavior | powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.41900000000000004,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.505,
          "midpoint": 0.924
        },
        {
          "key": "globalCatastrophe",
          "label": "P(global catastrophe | dangerous behavior)",
          "lower": 0.41900000000000004,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.505,
          "midpoint": 0.924
        }
      ],
      "quiz_flow_id": "medium",
      "quiz_answers": [
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "medium-vulnerabilities-phishing",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-social-engineering",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-malware",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-ransomware",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-supply-chain",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-mitm",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-zero-day",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-injection",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-sleeper-agent",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-data-poisoning",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-adversarial",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-model-stealing",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-obfuscation"
          ],
          "question_id": "medium-vulnerabilities"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-system-prompts-basic",
          "question_id": "medium-system-prompts"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-off-the-rails-low",
          "question_id": "medium-off-the-rails"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-competition-negative",
          "question_id": "medium-competition"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-governance-neutral",
          "question_id": "medium-governance"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-speed-risk",
          "question_id": "medium-speed"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "submitted_at": "2026-04-24T18:16:46.902+00:00",
      "summary": {
        "p10": 0.004801613597672242,
        "p90": 0.3252763698558234,
        "lower": 0,
        "upper": 1,
        "midpoint": 0.125
      },
      "factors": [
        {
          "key": "powerfulAi",
          "label": "P(powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.98,
          "midpoint": 0.5
        },
        {
          "key": "dangerousBehavior",
          "label": "P(dangerous behavior | powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.805,
          "midpoint": 0.5
        },
        {
          "key": "globalCatastrophe",
          "label": "P(global catastrophe | dangerous behavior)",
          "lower": 0,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.99,
          "midpoint": 0.5
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "submitted_at": "2026-04-27T16:24:25.726+00:00",
      "summary": {
        "p10": 0.1561304937466075,
        "p90": 0.5404495947863965,
        "lower": 0.05530634100000002,
        "upper": 1,
        "midpoint": 0.35640082900000014
      },
      "factors": [
        {
          "key": "powerfulAi",
          "label": "P(powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.38100000000000006,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.32799999999999996,
          "midpoint": 0.7090000000000001
        },
        {
          "key": "dangerousBehavior",
          "label": "P(dangerous behavior | powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.38100000000000006,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.32799999999999996,
          "midpoint": 0.7090000000000001
        },
        {
          "key": "globalCatastrophe",
          "label": "P(global catastrophe | dangerous behavior)",
          "lower": 0.38100000000000006,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.32799999999999996,
          "midpoint": 0.7090000000000001
        }
      ],
      "quiz_flow_id": "beginner",
      "quiz_answers": [
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "entertainment-blackmirror",
            "entertainment-matrix",
            "entertainment-terminator",
            "entertainment-blade-runner",
            "entertainment-alien",
            "entertainment-irobot",
            "entertainment-startrek",
            "entertainment-starwars",
            "entertainment-2001",
            "entertainment-judgedredd",
            "entertainment-robocop",
            "entertainment-ghostintheshell",
            "entertainment-trumanshow",
            "entertainment-wargames",
            "entertainment-wall-e",
            "entertainment-portal",
            "entertainment-hitchhikersguide"
          ],
          "question_id": "beginner-entertainment"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "catastrophe-supernova",
            "catastrophe-gamma-ray-burst",
            "catastrophe-impactevent",
            "catastrophe-geomagneticstorm",
            "catastrophe-pandemic",
            "catastrophe-climatechange",
            "catastrophe-nuclearwar",
            "catastrophe-weaponofmassdestruction",
            "catastrophe-sriskai",
            "catastrophe-unknownunknowns"
          ],
          "question_id": "beginner-catastrophes"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "capability-protein-folding",
            "capability-warfare",
            "capability-programming",
            "capability-mass-surveillance",
            "capability-trading",
            "capability-research",
            "capability-propaganda"
          ],
          "question_id": "beginner-capability"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "control-easy",
          "question_id": "beginner-control"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "submitted_at": "2026-04-28T23:49:26.052+00:00",
      "summary": {
        "p10": 0.3711181584115624,
        "p90": 0.7044702380681391,
        "lower": 0.23545468127983638,
        "upper": 1,
        "midpoint": 0.8297989173675836
      },
      "factors": [
        {
          "key": "powerfulAi",
          "label": "P(powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.71,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.29,
          "midpoint": 1
        },
        {
          "key": "dangerousBehavior",
          "label": "P(dangerous behavior | powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.562,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.335,
          "midpoint": 0.897
        },
        {
          "key": "globalCatastrophe",
          "label": "P(global catastrophe | dangerous behavior)",
          "lower": 0.5900824050920664,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.335,
          "midpoint": 0.9250824050920664
        }
      ],
      "quiz_flow_id": "expert",
      "quiz_answers": [
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-continuous-learning-finetuning"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-continuous-learning"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-self-improvement-prompting",
            "expert-self-improvement-coding",
            "expert-self-improvement-synthetic-data",
            "expert-self-improvement-rewrite-itself"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-self-improvement"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-self-replication-biology",
            "expert-self-replication-software",
            "expert-self-replication-3d-printing",
            "expert-self-replication-von-neumann-probe"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-self-replication"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-campaign-organisations-pauseai",
            "expert-campaign-organisations-controlai",
            "expert-campaign-organisations-microcommit"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-campaign-organisations"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [],
          "question_id": "expert-research-organisations"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-commentators-doom-debates"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-commentators"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-content-creators-robert-miles",
            "expert-content-creators-siliconversations",
            "expert-content-creators-rational-animations"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-content-creators"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "expert-money-not-spending-enough",
          "question_id": "expert-money-alignment"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "submitted_at": "2026-04-30T00:06:46.9+00:00",
      "summary": {
        "p10": 0.004801613597672242,
        "p90": 0.3252763698558234,
        "lower": 0,
        "upper": 1,
        "midpoint": 0.125
      },
      "factors": [
        {
          "key": "powerfulAi",
          "label": "P(powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 1,
          "midpoint": 0.5
        },
        {
          "key": "dangerousBehavior",
          "label": "P(dangerous behavior | powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.955,
          "midpoint": 0.5
        },
        {
          "key": "globalCatastrophe",
          "label": "P(global catastrophe | dangerous behavior)",
          "lower": 0,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.755,
          "midpoint": 0.5
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "submitted_at": "2026-04-30T00:07:16.384+00:00",
      "summary": {
        "p10": 0.125,
        "p90": 0.125,
        "lower": 0.125,
        "upper": 0.125,
        "midpoint": 0.125
      },
      "factors": [
        {
          "key": "powerfulAi",
          "label": "P(powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.5,
          "upper": 0.5,
          "spread": 0,
          "midpoint": 0.5
        },
        {
          "key": "dangerousBehavior",
          "label": "P(dangerous behavior | powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.5,
          "upper": 0.5,
          "spread": 0,
          "midpoint": 0.5
        },
        {
          "key": "globalCatastrophe",
          "label": "P(global catastrophe | dangerous behavior)",
          "lower": 0.5,
          "upper": 0.5,
          "spread": 0,
          "midpoint": 0.5
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "submitted_at": "2026-05-05T18:22:35.113+00:00",
      "summary": {
        "p10": 0.3674815417591663,
        "p90": 0.779963555659891,
        "lower": 0.25699837344867205,
        "upper": 1,
        "midpoint": 0.711517319915093
      },
      "factors": [
        {
          "key": "powerfulAi",
          "label": "P(powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.7181486493795282,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.23,
          "midpoint": 0.9481486493795281
        },
        {
          "key": "dangerousBehavior",
          "label": "P(dangerous behavior | powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.3954280266398233,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.355,
          "midpoint": 0.7504280266398233
        },
        {
          "key": "globalCatastrophe",
          "label": "P(global catastrophe | dangerous behavior)",
          "lower": 0.905,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.095,
          "midpoint": 1
        }
      ],
      "quiz_flow_id": "beginner",
      "quiz_answers": [
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "entertainment-matrix",
            "entertainment-terminator",
            "entertainment-alien",
            "entertainment-ghostintheshell",
            "entertainment-trumanshow",
            "entertainment-wall-e",
            "entertainment-silo",
            "entertainment-portal"
          ],
          "question_id": "beginner-entertainment"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "catastrophe-supervulcano",
            "catastrophe-supernova",
            "catastrophe-gamma-ray-burst",
            "catastrophe-impactevent",
            "catastrophe-geomagneticstorm",
            "catastrophe-pandemic",
            "catastrophe-climatechange",
            "catastrophe-nuclearwar",
            "catastrophe-weaponofmassdestruction",
            "catastrophe-xriskai",
            "catastrophe-sriskai",
            "catastrophe-unknownunknowns"
          ],
          "question_id": "beginner-catastrophes"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "capability-protein-folding",
            "capability-companion",
            "capability-warfare",
            "capability-programming",
            "capability-mass-surveillance",
            "capability-trading",
            "capability-research",
            "capability-propaganda"
          ],
          "question_id": "beginner-capability"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "control-impossible",
          "question_id": "beginner-control"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "submitted_at": "2026-05-08T17:44:03.38+00:00",
      "summary": {
        "p10": 0.27681975664392955,
        "p90": 0.6337562355769616,
        "lower": 0.1467318074858731,
        "upper": 0.9943941476526466,
        "midpoint": 0.6653966971960046
      },
      "factors": [
        {
          "key": "powerfulAi",
          "label": "P(powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.5343941476526466,
          "upper": 0.9943941476526466,
          "spread": 0.23,
          "midpoint": 0.7643941476526466
        },
        {
          "key": "dangerousBehavior",
          "label": "P(dangerous behavior | powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.524,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.409,
          "midpoint": 0.9329999999999999
        },
        {
          "key": "globalCatastrophe",
          "label": "P(global catastrophe | dangerous behavior)",
          "lower": 0.524,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.409,
          "midpoint": 0.9329999999999999
        }
      ],
      "quiz_flow_id": "medium",
      "quiz_answers": [
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "medium-vulnerabilities-phishing",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-social-engineering",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-malware",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-ransomware",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-supply-chain",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-mitm",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-insider-threat",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-zero-day",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-injection",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-prompt-injection"
          ],
          "question_id": "medium-vulnerabilities"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-system-prompts-expert",
          "question_id": "medium-system-prompts"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-off-the-rails-low",
          "question_id": "medium-off-the-rails"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-competition-neutral",
          "question_id": "medium-competition"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-governance-no",
          "question_id": "medium-governance"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-speed-risk",
          "question_id": "medium-speed"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "submitted_at": "2026-05-18T12:50:28.989+00:00",
      "summary": {
        "p10": 0.004801613597672242,
        "p90": 0.3252763698558234,
        "lower": 0,
        "upper": 1,
        "midpoint": 0.7991787519999998
      },
      "factors": [
        {
          "key": "powerfulAi",
          "label": "P(powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 1,
          "midpoint": 0.9279999999999999
        },
        {
          "key": "dangerousBehavior",
          "label": "P(dangerous behavior | powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 1,
          "midpoint": 0.9279999999999999
        },
        {
          "key": "globalCatastrophe",
          "label": "P(global catastrophe | dangerous behavior)",
          "lower": 0,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 1,
          "midpoint": 0.9279999999999999
        }
      ],
      "quiz_flow_id": "expert",
      "quiz_answers": [
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-continuous-learning-rag",
            "expert-continuous-learning-tool-based",
            "expert-continuous-learning-finetuning"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-continuous-learning"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-self-improvement-prompting",
            "expert-self-improvement-coding",
            "expert-self-improvement-synthetic-data",
            "expert-self-improvement-rewrite-itself"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-self-improvement"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-self-replication-biology",
            "expert-self-replication-cellular-automata",
            "expert-self-replication-software",
            "expert-self-replication-3d-printing",
            "expert-self-replication-von-neumann-probe"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-self-replication"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-campaign-organisations-pauseai",
            "expert-campaign-organisations-controlai",
            "expert-campaign-organisations-microcommit"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-campaign-organisations"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-research-organisations-aisi",
            "expert-research-organisations-redwood-research"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-research-organisations"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-commentators-doom-debates",
            "expert-commentators-dont-worry-about-the-vase"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-commentators"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-content-creators-robert-miles",
            "expert-content-creators-siliconversations",
            "expert-content-creators-lethal-intelligence",
            "expert-content-creators-rational-animations",
            "expert-content-creators-axiomatic-extinction"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-content-creators"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "expert-money-not-spending-enough",
          "question_id": "expert-money-alignment"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "submitted_at": "2026-05-22T04:05:41.405+00:00",
      "summary": {
        "p10": 0.02735491993211029,
        "p90": 0.41124169501714847,
        "lower": 0,
        "upper": 1,
        "midpoint": 0.4229654683233117
      },
      "factors": [
        {
          "key": "powerfulAi",
          "label": "P(powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.2866954593199172,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.615,
          "midpoint": 0.9016954593199172
        },
        {
          "key": "dangerousBehavior",
          "label": "P(dangerous behavior | powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.795,
          "midpoint": 0.5073035469672451
        },
        {
          "key": "globalCatastrophe",
          "label": "P(global catastrophe | dangerous behavior)",
          "lower": 0.18464948198466075,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.74,
          "midpoint": 0.9246494819846608
        }
      ],
      "quiz_flow_id": "expert",
      "quiz_answers": [
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-continuous-learning-rag",
            "expert-continuous-learning-tool-based",
            "expert-continuous-learning-finetuning"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-continuous-learning"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-self-improvement-prompting",
            "expert-self-improvement-coding",
            "expert-self-improvement-synthetic-data",
            "expert-self-improvement-rewrite-itself"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-self-improvement"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-self-replication-biology",
            "expert-self-replication-cellular-automata",
            "expert-self-replication-software",
            "expert-self-replication-3d-printing",
            "expert-self-replication-von-neumann-probe"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-self-replication"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-campaign-organisations-pauseai",
            "expert-campaign-organisations-controlai",
            "expert-campaign-organisations-microcommit"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-campaign-organisations"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-research-organisations-redwood-research"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-research-organisations"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-commentators-doom-debates",
            "expert-commentators-dont-worry-about-the-vase"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-commentators"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-content-creators-robert-miles",
            "expert-content-creators-siliconversations",
            "expert-content-creators-lethal-intelligence"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-content-creators"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "expert-money-not-spending-enough",
          "question_id": "expert-money-alignment"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "submitted_at": "2026-05-22T04:05:51.078+00:00",
      "summary": {
        "p10": 0.02735491993211029,
        "p90": 0.41124169501714847,
        "lower": 0,
        "upper": 1,
        "midpoint": 0.4229654683233117
      },
      "factors": [
        {
          "key": "powerfulAi",
          "label": "P(powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.2866954593199172,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.615,
          "midpoint": 0.9016954593199172
        },
        {
          "key": "dangerousBehavior",
          "label": "P(dangerous behavior | powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.795,
          "midpoint": 0.5073035469672451
        },
        {
          "key": "globalCatastrophe",
          "label": "P(global catastrophe | dangerous behavior)",
          "lower": 0.18464948198466075,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.74,
          "midpoint": 0.9246494819846608
        }
      ],
      "quiz_flow_id": "expert",
      "quiz_answers": [
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-continuous-learning-rag",
            "expert-continuous-learning-tool-based",
            "expert-continuous-learning-finetuning"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-continuous-learning"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-self-improvement-prompting",
            "expert-self-improvement-coding",
            "expert-self-improvement-synthetic-data",
            "expert-self-improvement-rewrite-itself"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-self-improvement"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-self-replication-biology",
            "expert-self-replication-cellular-automata",
            "expert-self-replication-software",
            "expert-self-replication-3d-printing",
            "expert-self-replication-von-neumann-probe"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-self-replication"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-campaign-organisations-pauseai",
            "expert-campaign-organisations-controlai",
            "expert-campaign-organisations-microcommit"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-campaign-organisations"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-research-organisations-redwood-research"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-research-organisations"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-commentators-doom-debates",
            "expert-commentators-dont-worry-about-the-vase"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-commentators"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-content-creators-robert-miles",
            "expert-content-creators-siliconversations",
            "expert-content-creators-lethal-intelligence"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-content-creators"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "expert-money-not-spending-enough",
          "question_id": "expert-money-alignment"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "submitted_at": "2026-05-26T00:56:33.917+00:00",
      "summary": {
        "p10": 0.009601850092908322,
        "p90": 0.1025606347337868,
        "lower": 0,
        "upper": 0.17778383654657845,
        "midpoint": 0.04797650887939793
      },
      "factors": [
        {
          "key": "powerfulAi",
          "label": "P(powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.2144281905190484,
          "upper": 0.5944281905190484,
          "spread": 0.19,
          "midpoint": 0.40442819051904844
        },
        {
          "key": "dangerousBehavior",
          "label": "P(dangerous behavior | powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0,
          "upper": 0.2990837907457577,
          "spread": 0.17,
          "midpoint": 0.1290837907457577
        },
        {
          "key": "globalCatastrophe",
          "label": "P(global catastrophe | dangerous behavior)",
          "lower": 0.7390000000000001,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.18,
          "midpoint": 0.919
        }
      ],
      "quiz_flow_id": "beginner",
      "quiz_answers": [
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "entertainment-blackmirror",
            "entertainment-matrix",
            "entertainment-terminator",
            "entertainment-blade-runner",
            "entertainment-alien",
            "entertainment-ex-machina",
            "entertainment-irobot",
            "entertainment-her",
            "entertainment-startrek",
            "entertainment-starwars",
            "entertainment-2001",
            "entertainment-judgedredd",
            "entertainment-robocop",
            "entertainment-westworld",
            "entertainment-trumanshow",
            "entertainment-wargames",
            "entertainment-hitchhikersguide"
          ],
          "question_id": "beginner-entertainment"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "catastrophe-supervulcano",
            "catastrophe-supernova",
            "catastrophe-gamma-ray-burst",
            "catastrophe-impactevent",
            "catastrophe-geomagneticstorm",
            "catastrophe-pandemic",
            "catastrophe-climatechange",
            "catastrophe-nuclearwar",
            "catastrophe-weaponofmassdestruction",
            "catastrophe-xriskai",
            "catastrophe-sriskai",
            "catastrophe-unknownunknowns"
          ],
          "question_id": "beginner-catastrophes"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "capability-protein-folding",
            "capability-companion",
            "capability-warfare",
            "capability-programming",
            "capability-mass-surveillance",
            "capability-trading",
            "capability-research",
            "capability-propaganda"
          ],
          "question_id": "beginner-capability"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "control-impossible",
          "question_id": "beginner-control"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "submitted_at": "2026-06-02T14:16:51.64+00:00",
      "summary": {
        "p10": 0.009498505829005245,
        "p90": 0.35375281969183975,
        "lower": 0,
        "upper": 1,
        "midpoint": 0.642735647
      },
      "factors": [
        {
          "key": "powerfulAi",
          "label": "P(powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.9,
          "midpoint": 0.863
        },
        {
          "key": "dangerousBehavior",
          "label": "P(dangerous behavior | powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.9,
          "midpoint": 0.863
        },
        {
          "key": "globalCatastrophe",
          "label": "P(global catastrophe | dangerous behavior)",
          "lower": 0.16299999999999998,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.7,
          "midpoint": 0.863
        }
      ],
      "quiz_flow_id": "medium",
      "quiz_answers": [
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "medium-vulnerabilities-phishing",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-social-engineering",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-malware",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-ransomware",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-supply-chain",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-mitm",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-insider-threat",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-zero-day",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-injection",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-obfuscation",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-side-channel"
          ],
          "question_id": "medium-vulnerabilities"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-system-prompts-basic",
          "question_id": "medium-system-prompts"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-off-the-rails-low",
          "question_id": "medium-off-the-rails"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-competition-negative",
          "question_id": "medium-competition"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-governance-yes",
          "question_id": "medium-governance"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-speed-risk",
          "question_id": "medium-speed"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "submitted_at": "2026-06-09T23:11:20.059+00:00",
      "summary": {
        "p10": 0.380538133442735,
        "p90": 0.7566092317910295,
        "lower": 0.26565000000000005,
        "upper": 0.995,
        "midpoint": 0.7290000000000001
      },
      "factors": [
        {
          "key": "powerfulAi",
          "label": "P(powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.44,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.46,
          "midpoint": 0.9
        },
        {
          "key": "dangerousBehavior",
          "label": "P(dangerous behavior | powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.75,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.15,
          "midpoint": 0.9
        },
        {
          "key": "globalCatastrophe",
          "label": "P(global catastrophe | dangerous behavior)",
          "lower": 0.805,
          "upper": 0.995,
          "spread": 0.095,
          "midpoint": 0.9
        }
      ],
      "quiz_flow_id": "beginner",
      "quiz_answers": [
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "entertainment-blackmirror",
            "entertainment-matrix",
            "entertainment-terminator",
            "entertainment-blade-runner",
            "entertainment-irobot",
            "entertainment-her",
            "entertainment-trumanshow",
            "entertainment-wargames",
            "entertainment-silo",
            "entertainment-foundation",
            "entertainment-hitchhikersguide"
          ],
          "question_id": "beginner-entertainment"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "catastrophe-supervulcano",
            "catastrophe-supernova",
            "catastrophe-gamma-ray-burst",
            "catastrophe-geomagneticstorm",
            "catastrophe-pandemic",
            "catastrophe-climatechange",
            "catastrophe-nuclearwar",
            "catastrophe-weaponofmassdestruction",
            "catastrophe-xriskai"
          ],
          "question_id": "beginner-catastrophes"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "capability-companion",
            "capability-warfare",
            "capability-programming",
            "capability-mass-surveillance",
            "capability-trading",
            "capability-research"
          ],
          "question_id": "beginner-capability"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "control-impossible",
          "question_id": "beginner-control"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "submitted_at": "2026-06-10T02:03:02.028+00:00",
      "summary": {
        "p10": 0.003883464436957011,
        "p90": 0.1341828902565072,
        "lower": 0,
        "upper": 0.3768190624369952,
        "midpoint": 0.016072379376139114
      },
      "factors": [
        {
          "key": "powerfulAi",
          "label": "P(powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.175349688405161,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.43700000000000006,
          "midpoint": 0.612349688405161
        },
        {
          "key": "dangerousBehavior",
          "label": "P(dangerous behavior | powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0,
          "upper": 0.7038743965592908,
          "spread": 0.43700000000000006,
          "midpoint": 0.2668743965592908
        },
        {
          "key": "globalCatastrophe",
          "label": "P(global catastrophe | dangerous behavior)",
          "lower": 0,
          "upper": 0.5353498639515493,
          "spread": 0.43700000000000006,
          "midpoint": 0.0983498639515492
        }
      ],
      "quiz_flow_id": "beginner",
      "quiz_answers": [
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "entertainment-blackmirror",
            "entertainment-matrix",
            "entertainment-irobot",
            "entertainment-starwars",
            "entertainment-trumanshow",
            "entertainment-hitchhikersguide"
          ],
          "question_id": "beginner-entertainment"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "catastrophe-supervulcano",
            "catastrophe-supernova",
            "catastrophe-gamma-ray-burst",
            "catastrophe-impactevent",
            "catastrophe-geomagneticstorm",
            "catastrophe-pandemic",
            "catastrophe-climatechange",
            "catastrophe-nuclearwar",
            "catastrophe-weaponofmassdestruction",
            "catastrophe-xriskai"
          ],
          "question_id": "beginner-catastrophes"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "capability-companion",
            "capability-warfare",
            "capability-programming",
            "capability-mass-surveillance",
            "capability-trading",
            "capability-propaganda"
          ],
          "question_id": "beginner-capability"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "control-medium",
          "question_id": "beginner-control"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "submitted_at": "2026-06-10T04:23:54.781+00:00",
      "summary": {
        "p10": 0.2637478428967964,
        "p90": 0.6011082671314238,
        "lower": 0.15048495017817404,
        "upper": 0.8955378507089962,
        "midpoint": 0.4368114459679128
      },
      "factors": [
        {
          "key": "powerfulAi",
          "label": "P(powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.5743070394786695,
          "upper": 0.9943070394786695,
          "spread": 0.21,
          "midpoint": 0.7843070394786694
        },
        {
          "key": "dangerousBehavior",
          "label": "P(dangerous behavior | powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.6206653027203152,
          "upper": 0.9006653027203151,
          "spread": 0.14,
          "midpoint": 0.7606653027203152
        },
        {
          "key": "globalCatastrophe",
          "label": "P(global catastrophe | dangerous behavior)",
          "lower": 0.4221739789346063,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.31,
          "midpoint": 0.7321739789346062
        }
      ],
      "quiz_flow_id": "expert",
      "quiz_answers": [
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-continuous-learning-rag",
            "expert-continuous-learning-tool-based"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-continuous-learning"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-self-improvement-prompting",
            "expert-self-improvement-coding",
            "expert-self-improvement-synthetic-data",
            "expert-self-improvement-rewrite-itself"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-self-improvement"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-self-replication-biology",
            "expert-self-replication-cellular-automata",
            "expert-self-replication-software",
            "expert-self-replication-3d-printing",
            "expert-self-replication-von-neumann-probe"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-self-replication"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-campaign-organisations-pauseai"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-campaign-organisations"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-research-organisations-aisi"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-research-organisations"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [],
          "question_id": "expert-commentators"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-content-creators-robert-miles",
            "expert-content-creators-rational-animations"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-content-creators"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "expert-money-accelerating-defensive-technologies",
          "question_id": "expert-money-alignment"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "submitted_at": "2026-06-10T17:53:29.724+00:00",
      "summary": {
        "p10": 0.3963931561499968,
        "p90": 0.7304289268324962,
        "lower": 0.28606351199999996,
        "upper": 0.938,
        "midpoint": 0.665338617
      },
      "factors": [
        {
          "key": "powerfulAi",
          "label": "P(powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.8079999999999999,
          "upper": 0.938,
          "spread": 0.065,
          "midpoint": 0.873
        },
        {
          "key": "dangerousBehavior",
          "label": "P(dangerous behavior | powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.483,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.39,
          "midpoint": 0.873
        },
        {
          "key": "globalCatastrophe",
          "label": "P(global catastrophe | dangerous behavior)",
          "lower": 0.733,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.14,
          "midpoint": 0.873
        }
      ],
      "quiz_flow_id": "medium",
      "quiz_answers": [
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "medium-vulnerabilities-phishing",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-social-engineering",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-malware",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-ransomware",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-supply-chain",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-mitm",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-zero-day",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-prompt-injection"
          ],
          "question_id": "medium-vulnerabilities"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-system-prompts-medium",
          "question_id": "medium-system-prompts"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-off-the-rails-high",
          "question_id": "medium-off-the-rails"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-competition-positive",
          "question_id": "medium-competition"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-governance-no",
          "question_id": "medium-governance"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-speed-risk",
          "question_id": "medium-speed"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "submitted_at": "2026-06-16T15:22:47.168+00:00",
      "summary": {
        "p10": 0.9268593749999999,
        "p90": 0.9268593749999999,
        "lower": 0.9268593749999999,
        "upper": 0.9268593749999999,
        "midpoint": 0.9268593749999999
      },
      "factors": [
        {
          "key": "powerfulAi",
          "label": "P(powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.975,
          "upper": 0.975,
          "spread": 0,
          "midpoint": 0.975
        },
        {
          "key": "dangerousBehavior",
          "label": "P(dangerous behavior | powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.975,
          "upper": 0.975,
          "spread": 0,
          "midpoint": 0.975
        },
        {
          "key": "globalCatastrophe",
          "label": "P(global catastrophe | dangerous behavior)",
          "lower": 0.975,
          "upper": 0.975,
          "spread": 0,
          "midpoint": 0.975
        }
      ],
      "quiz_flow_id": "medium",
      "quiz_answers": [
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "medium-vulnerabilities-phishing",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-social-engineering",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-malware",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-ransomware",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-supply-chain",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-mitm",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-insider-threat",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-zero-day",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-injection",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-prompt-injection",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-data-poisoning",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-model-stealing"
          ],
          "question_id": "medium-vulnerabilities"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-system-prompts-basic",
          "question_id": "medium-system-prompts"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-off-the-rails-low",
          "question_id": "medium-off-the-rails"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-competition-negative",
          "question_id": "medium-competition"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-governance-no",
          "question_id": "medium-governance"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-speed-risk",
          "question_id": "medium-speed"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "submitted_at": "2026-06-18T12:26:52.95+00:00",
      "summary": {
        "p10": 0.15028614688762565,
        "p90": 0.5392717708678317,
        "lower": 0.05254376870658846,
        "upper": 1,
        "midpoint": 0.7038025886557318
      },
      "factors": [
        {
          "key": "powerfulAi",
          "label": "P(powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.3235274443324475,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.565,
          "midpoint": 0.8885274443324476
        },
        {
          "key": "dangerousBehavior",
          "label": "P(dangerous behavior | powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.40299999999999997,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.48700000000000004,
          "midpoint": 0.89
        },
        {
          "key": "globalCatastrophe",
          "label": "P(global catastrophe | dangerous behavior)",
          "lower": 0.40299999999999997,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.48700000000000004,
          "midpoint": 0.89
        }
      ],
      "quiz_flow_id": "beginner",
      "quiz_answers": [
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "entertainment-blackmirror",
            "entertainment-matrix",
            "entertainment-trumanshow",
            "entertainment-wall-e"
          ],
          "question_id": "beginner-entertainment"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "catastrophe-supervulcano",
            "catastrophe-supernova",
            "catastrophe-impactevent",
            "catastrophe-pandemic",
            "catastrophe-climatechange",
            "catastrophe-nuclearwar",
            "catastrophe-weaponofmassdestruction",
            "catastrophe-xriskai"
          ],
          "question_id": "beginner-catastrophes"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "capability-companion",
            "capability-warfare",
            "capability-programming",
            "capability-mass-surveillance",
            "capability-trading",
            "capability-propaganda"
          ],
          "question_id": "beginner-capability"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "control-impossible",
          "question_id": "beginner-control"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "submitted_at": "2026-06-24T13:21:25.383+00:00",
      "summary": {
        "p10": 0.031747627873733905,
        "p90": 0.48256617109903205,
        "lower": 0,
        "upper": 1,
        "midpoint": 0.4838566581459936
      },
      "factors": [
        {
          "key": "powerfulAi",
          "label": "P(powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.95,
          "midpoint": 0.878
        },
        {
          "key": "dangerousBehavior",
          "label": "P(dangerous behavior | powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.12766467866241052,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.5,
          "midpoint": 0.6276646786624105
        },
        {
          "key": "globalCatastrophe",
          "label": "P(global catastrophe | dangerous behavior)",
          "lower": 0.578,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.3,
          "midpoint": 0.878
        }
      ],
      "quiz_flow_id": "beginner",
      "quiz_answers": [
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "entertainment-terminator",
            "entertainment-starwars",
            "entertainment-wall-e"
          ],
          "question_id": "beginner-entertainment"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "catastrophe-supernova",
            "catastrophe-impactevent",
            "catastrophe-nuclearwar",
            "catastrophe-xriskai",
            "catastrophe-sriskai"
          ],
          "question_id": "beginner-catastrophes"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "capability-companion",
            "capability-programming",
            "capability-mass-surveillance",
            "capability-research",
            "capability-propaganda"
          ],
          "question_id": "beginner-capability"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "control-impossible",
          "question_id": "beginner-control"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "submitted_at": "2026-07-03T20:24:48.272+00:00",
      "summary": {
        "p10": 0.09985971637876656,
        "p90": 0.2233655294980694,
        "lower": 0.06077694379790583,
        "upper": 0.31727761483106265,
        "midpoint": 0.15957639494482767
      },
      "factors": [
        {
          "key": "powerfulAi",
          "label": "P(powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.504257607920228,
          "upper": 0.694257607920228,
          "spread": 0.095,
          "midpoint": 0.599257607920228
        },
        {
          "key": "dangerousBehavior",
          "label": "P(dangerous behavior | powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.6108102040520805,
          "upper": 0.9008102040520805,
          "spread": 0.145,
          "midpoint": 0.7558102040520805
        },
        {
          "key": "globalCatastrophe",
          "label": "P(global catastrophe | dangerous behavior)",
          "lower": 0.19732409270290988,
          "upper": 0.5073240927029099,
          "spread": 0.155,
          "midpoint": 0.3523240927029099
        }
      ],
      "quiz_flow_id": "medium",
      "quiz_answers": [
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "medium-vulnerabilities-phishing",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-social-engineering",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-malware",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-ransomware",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-supply-chain",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-mitm",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-insider-threat",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-zero-day",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-injection",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-prompt-injection",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-data-poisoning",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-adversarial",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-obfuscation"
          ],
          "question_id": "medium-vulnerabilities"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-system-prompts-none",
          "question_id": "medium-system-prompts"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-off-the-rails-low",
          "question_id": "medium-off-the-rails"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-competition-negative",
          "question_id": "medium-competition"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-governance-neutral",
          "question_id": "medium-governance"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-speed-no-risk",
          "question_id": "medium-speed"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "submitted_at": "2026-07-03T22:15:08.466+00:00",
      "summary": {
        "p10": 0.003022870544372116,
        "p90": 0.03958558171457771,
        "lower": 0,
        "upper": 0.08891840777239132,
        "midpoint": 0
      },
      "factors": [
        {
          "key": "powerfulAi",
          "label": "P(powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.245,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.755,
          "midpoint": 1
        },
        {
          "key": "dangerousBehavior",
          "label": "P(dangerous behavior | powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0,
          "upper": 0.505,
          "spread": 0.505,
          "midpoint": 0
        },
        {
          "key": "globalCatastrophe",
          "label": "P(global catastrophe | dangerous behavior)",
          "lower": 0.06607605499483431,
          "upper": 0.1760760549948343,
          "spread": 0.055,
          "midpoint": 0.1210760549948343
        }
      ],
      "quiz_flow_id": "medium",
      "quiz_answers": [
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "medium-vulnerabilities-phishing",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-social-engineering",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-malware",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-insider-threat",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-zero-day",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-prompt-injection"
          ],
          "question_id": "medium-vulnerabilities"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-system-prompts-medium",
          "question_id": "medium-system-prompts"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-off-the-rails-low",
          "question_id": "medium-off-the-rails"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-competition-neutral",
          "question_id": "medium-competition"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-governance-no",
          "question_id": "medium-governance"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-speed-no-risk",
          "question_id": "medium-speed"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "submitted_at": "2026-07-06T00:14:48.337+00:00",
      "summary": {
        "p10": 0.7029657726060526,
        "p90": 0.7928019993766787,
        "lower": 0.6567937166326892,
        "upper": 0.8482159999999999,
        "midpoint": 0.7629254889912743
      },
      "factors": [
        {
          "key": "powerfulAi",
          "label": "P(powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.8860073663323276,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.075,
          "midpoint": 0.9610073663323275
        },
        {
          "key": "dangerousBehavior",
          "label": "P(dangerous behavior | powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.866,
          "upper": 0.9159999999999999,
          "spread": 0.025,
          "midpoint": 0.8909999999999999
        },
        {
          "key": "globalCatastrophe",
          "label": "P(global catastrophe | dangerous behavior)",
          "lower": 0.856,
          "upper": 0.9259999999999999,
          "spread": 0.035,
          "midpoint": 0.8909999999999999
        }
      ],
      "quiz_flow_id": "beginner",
      "quiz_answers": [
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "entertainment-matrix",
            "entertainment-terminator",
            "entertainment-startrek",
            "entertainment-starwars",
            "entertainment-ironman"
          ],
          "question_id": "beginner-entertainment"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "catastrophe-supernova",
            "catastrophe-impactevent",
            "catastrophe-pandemic",
            "catastrophe-climatechange",
            "catastrophe-nuclearwar",
            "catastrophe-weaponofmassdestruction",
            "catastrophe-xriskai",
            "catastrophe-sriskai"
          ],
          "question_id": "beginner-catastrophes"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "capability-companion",
            "capability-warfare",
            "capability-programming",
            "capability-trading",
            "capability-research",
            "capability-propaganda"
          ],
          "question_id": "beginner-capability"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "control-impossible",
          "question_id": "beginner-control"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "submitted_at": "2026-07-09T00:43:07.943+00:00",
      "summary": {
        "p10": 0.40033944835967816,
        "p90": 0.6046773665665135,
        "lower": 0.30601015705066925,
        "upper": 0.7600516383432658,
        "midpoint": 0.6383272302861653
      },
      "factors": [
        {
          "key": "powerfulAi",
          "label": "P(powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.6100516383432658,
          "upper": 0.7600516383432658,
          "spread": 0.075,
          "midpoint": 0.6850516383432658
        },
        {
          "key": "dangerousBehavior",
          "label": "P(dangerous behavior | powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.7643145124891048,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.205,
          "midpoint": 0.9693145124891047
        },
        {
          "key": "globalCatastrophe",
          "label": "P(global catastrophe | dangerous behavior)",
          "lower": 0.6562920419111413,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.305,
          "midpoint": 0.9612920419111413
        }
      ],
      "quiz_flow_id": "medium",
      "quiz_answers": [
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "medium-vulnerabilities-phishing",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-social-engineering",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-malware",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-ransomware",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-supply-chain",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-mitm",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-insider-threat",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-zero-day",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-injection",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-prompt-injection",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-data-poisoning",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-adversarial",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-obfuscation"
          ],
          "question_id": "medium-vulnerabilities"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-system-prompts-medium",
          "question_id": "medium-system-prompts"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-off-the-rails-bypass",
          "question_id": "medium-off-the-rails"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-competition-negative",
          "question_id": "medium-competition"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-governance-yes",
          "question_id": "medium-governance"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-speed-risk",
          "question_id": "medium-speed"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "submitted_at": "2026-07-10T08:09:40.879+00:00",
      "summary": {
        "p10": 0.010194571424178742,
        "p90": 0.28928177292386076,
        "lower": 0,
        "upper": 0.5,
        "midpoint": 0.125
      },
      "factors": [
        {
          "key": "powerfulAi",
          "label": "P(powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.5,
          "upper": 0.5,
          "spread": 0,
          "midpoint": 0.5
        },
        {
          "key": "dangerousBehavior",
          "label": "P(dangerous behavior | powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 1,
          "midpoint": 0.5
        },
        {
          "key": "globalCatastrophe",
          "label": "P(global catastrophe | dangerous behavior)",
          "lower": 0,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.68,
          "midpoint": 0.5
        }
      ],
      "quiz_flow_id": "decide",
      "quiz_answers": [
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "attention-is-all-you-need",
            "all-you-need-is-love",
            "the-real-slim-shady",
            "adhd",
            "alan-turing",
            "schrodingers-cat",
            "agent",
            "reward-hacking",
            "training-data",
            "personal-trainer",
            "overfitting",
            "backpropagation",
            "unsupervised-learning",
            "reinforced-concrete",
            "hallucination"
          ],
          "question_id": "phase1"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "submitted_at": "2026-07-22T18:24:04.982+00:00",
      "summary": {
        "p10": 0.3775701560356995,
        "p90": 0.617258707131576,
        "lower": 0.2826762389708997,
        "upper": 0.7820088741346329,
        "midpoint": 0.4954399911286105
      },
      "factors": [
        {
          "key": "powerfulAi",
          "label": "P(powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.7927838864947278,
          "upper": 0.9727838864947277,
          "spread": 0.09,
          "midpoint": 0.8827838864947277
        },
        {
          "key": "dangerousBehavior",
          "label": "P(dangerous behavior | powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.5252747525302413,
          "upper": 0.9252747525302412,
          "spread": 0.2,
          "midpoint": 0.7252747525302412
        },
        {
          "key": "globalCatastrophe",
          "label": "P(global catastrophe | dangerous behavior)",
          "lower": 0.6788095803679185,
          "upper": 0.8688095803679186,
          "spread": 0.095,
          "midpoint": 0.7738095803679186
        }
      ],
      "quiz_flow_id": "medium",
      "quiz_answers": [
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "medium-vulnerabilities-phishing",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-social-engineering",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-malware",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-ransomware",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-insider-threat",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-zero-day",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-injection",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-prompt-injection",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-data-poisoning"
          ],
          "question_id": "medium-vulnerabilities"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-system-prompts-expert",
          "question_id": "medium-system-prompts"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-off-the-rails-low",
          "question_id": "medium-off-the-rails"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-competition-negative",
          "question_id": "medium-competition"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-governance-neutral",
          "question_id": "medium-governance"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-speed-risk",
          "question_id": "medium-speed"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "submitted_at": "2026-08-02T00:20:14.324+00:00",
      "summary": {
        "p10": 0.3841836804493005,
        "p90": 0.7760966870494306,
        "lower": 0.33638131199999993,
        "upper": 0.8244639999999999,
        "midpoint": 0.7486133119999998
      },
      "factors": [
        {
          "key": "powerfulAi",
          "label": "P(powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.9079999999999999,
          "upper": 0.9079999999999999,
          "spread": 0,
          "midpoint": 0.9079999999999999
        },
        {
          "key": "dangerousBehavior",
          "label": "P(dangerous behavior | powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.9079999999999999,
          "upper": 0.9079999999999999,
          "spread": 0,
          "midpoint": 0.9079999999999999
        },
        {
          "key": "globalCatastrophe",
          "label": "P(global catastrophe | dangerous behavior)",
          "lower": 0.408,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.5,
          "midpoint": 0.9079999999999999
        }
      ],
      "quiz_flow_id": "beginner",
      "quiz_answers": [
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "entertainment-matrix",
            "entertainment-terminator",
            "entertainment-blade-runner",
            "entertainment-alien",
            "entertainment-startrek",
            "entertainment-robocop",
            "entertainment-wall-e",
            "entertainment-hitchhikersguide"
          ],
          "question_id": "beginner-entertainment"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "catastrophe-supervulcano",
            "catastrophe-supernova",
            "catastrophe-gamma-ray-burst",
            "catastrophe-impactevent",
            "catastrophe-geomagneticstorm",
            "catastrophe-pandemic",
            "catastrophe-climatechange",
            "catastrophe-nuclearwar",
            "catastrophe-weaponofmassdestruction",
            "catastrophe-xriskai",
            "catastrophe-sriskai"
          ],
          "question_id": "beginner-catastrophes"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "capability-protein-folding",
            "capability-companion",
            "capability-warfare",
            "capability-programming",
            "capability-mass-surveillance",
            "capability-trading",
            "capability-research",
            "capability-propaganda"
          ],
          "question_id": "beginner-capability"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "control-impossible",
          "question_id": "beginner-control"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "submitted_at": "2026-08-03T13:27:02.343+00:00",
      "summary": {
        "p10": 0.6034341200948148,
        "p90": 0.8054408478649597,
        "lower": 0.5321766450000001,
        "upper": 0.897,
        "midpoint": 0.804609
      },
      "factors": [
        {
          "key": "powerfulAi",
          "label": "P(powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.805,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.195,
          "midpoint": 1
        },
        {
          "key": "dangerousBehavior",
          "label": "P(dangerous behavior | powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.737,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.16,
          "midpoint": 0.897
        },
        {
          "key": "globalCatastrophe",
          "label": "P(global catastrophe | dangerous behavior)",
          "lower": 0.897,
          "upper": 0.897,
          "spread": 0,
          "midpoint": 0.897
        }
      ],
      "quiz_flow_id": "beginner",
      "quiz_answers": [
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "entertainment-wall-e",
            "entertainment-ironman"
          ],
          "question_id": "beginner-entertainment"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "catastrophe-supervulcano",
            "catastrophe-supernova",
            "catastrophe-gamma-ray-burst",
            "catastrophe-impactevent",
            "catastrophe-geomagneticstorm",
            "catastrophe-pandemic",
            "catastrophe-climatechange",
            "catastrophe-nuclearwar",
            "catastrophe-weaponofmassdestruction",
            "catastrophe-xriskai",
            "catastrophe-sriskai",
            "catastrophe-unknownunknowns"
          ],
          "question_id": "beginner-catastrophes"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "capability-companion",
            "capability-warfare",
            "capability-programming",
            "capability-mass-surveillance",
            "capability-trading",
            "capability-research"
          ],
          "question_id": "beginner-capability"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "control-impossible",
          "question_id": "beginner-control"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "submitted_at": "2026-08-03T13:28:51.815+00:00",
      "summary": {
        "p10": 0.05614428038607077,
        "p90": 0.4279370039272,
        "lower": 0.007077888000000004,
        "upper": 1,
        "midpoint": 0.741217625
      },
      "factors": [
        {
          "key": "powerfulAi",
          "label": "P(powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.19200000000000003,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.713,
          "midpoint": 0.905
        },
        {
          "key": "dangerousBehavior",
          "label": "P(dangerous behavior | powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.19200000000000003,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.713,
          "midpoint": 0.905
        },
        {
          "key": "globalCatastrophe",
          "label": "P(global catastrophe | dangerous behavior)",
          "lower": 0.19200000000000003,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.713,
          "midpoint": 0.905
        }
      ],
      "quiz_flow_id": "medium",
      "quiz_answers": [
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "medium-vulnerabilities-phishing",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-malware",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-ransomware",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-zero-day",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-prompt-injection",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-sleeper-agent",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-data-poisoning"
          ],
          "question_id": "medium-vulnerabilities"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-system-prompts-none",
          "question_id": "medium-system-prompts"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-off-the-rails-never",
          "question_id": "medium-off-the-rails"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-competition-negative",
          "question_id": "medium-competition"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-governance-neutral",
          "question_id": "medium-governance"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-speed-risk",
          "question_id": "medium-speed"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "submitted_at": "2026-08-03T13:52:38.259+00:00",
      "summary": {
        "p10": 0.00936911482173304,
        "p90": 0.28758426942617465,
        "lower": 0,
        "upper": 0.5249869644571519,
        "midpoint": 0.22545175085473787
      },
      "factors": [
        {
          "key": "powerfulAi",
          "label": "P(powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0,
          "upper": 0.5637910349674736,
          "spread": 0.305,
          "midpoint": 0.2587910349674736
        },
        {
          "key": "dangerousBehavior",
          "label": "P(dangerous behavior | powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.8111729557520182,
          "upper": 0.9311729557520182,
          "spread": 0.06,
          "midpoint": 0.8711729557520183
        },
        {
          "key": "globalCatastrophe",
          "label": "P(global catastrophe | dangerous behavior)",
          "lower": 0,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 1,
          "midpoint": 1
        }
      ],
      "quiz_flow_id": "expert",
      "quiz_answers": [
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-continuous-learning-rag",
            "expert-continuous-learning-tool-based",
            "expert-continuous-learning-finetuning"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-continuous-learning"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-self-improvement-prompting",
            "expert-self-improvement-coding",
            "expert-self-improvement-synthetic-data",
            "expert-self-improvement-rewrite-itself"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-self-improvement"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-self-replication-biology",
            "expert-self-replication-cellular-automata",
            "expert-self-replication-software",
            "expert-self-replication-3d-printing",
            "expert-self-replication-von-neumann-probe"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-self-replication"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-campaign-organisations-pauseai",
            "expert-campaign-organisations-controlai"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-campaign-organisations"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-research-organisations-aisi"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-research-organisations"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-commentators-doom-debates"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-commentators"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-content-creators-robert-miles",
            "expert-content-creators-siliconversations",
            "expert-content-creators-rational-animations"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-content-creators"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "expert-money-not-spending-enough",
          "question_id": "expert-money-alignment"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "submitted_at": "2026-08-03T13:56:10.442+00:00",
      "summary": {
        "p10": 0.11308412843822953,
        "p90": 0.49874405915707715,
        "lower": 0.030571597118684655,
        "upper": 1,
        "midpoint": 0.6784203533606714
      },
      "factors": [
        {
          "key": "powerfulAi",
          "label": "P(powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.3120537835303478,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.5660000000000001,
          "midpoint": 0.8780537835303478
        },
        {
          "key": "dangerousBehavior",
          "label": "P(dangerous behavior | powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.31300000000000006,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.5660000000000001,
          "midpoint": 0.879
        },
        {
          "key": "globalCatastrophe",
          "label": "P(global catastrophe | dangerous behavior)",
          "lower": 0.31300000000000006,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.5660000000000001,
          "midpoint": 0.879
        }
      ],
      "quiz_flow_id": "expert",
      "quiz_answers": [
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-continuous-learning-rag",
            "expert-continuous-learning-tool-based",
            "expert-continuous-learning-finetuning"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-continuous-learning"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-self-improvement-prompting",
            "expert-self-improvement-coding",
            "expert-self-improvement-synthetic-data",
            "expert-self-improvement-rewrite-itself"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-self-improvement"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-self-replication-biology",
            "expert-self-replication-software"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-self-replication"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-campaign-organisations-pauseai"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-campaign-organisations"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [],
          "question_id": "expert-research-organisations"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [],
          "question_id": "expert-commentators"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [],
          "question_id": "expert-content-creators"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "expert-money-not-spending-enough",
          "question_id": "expert-money-alignment"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "submitted_at": "2026-08-03T14:01:24.684+00:00",
      "summary": {
        "p10": 0.026884340042793747,
        "p90": 0.3004491380887455,
        "lower": 0,
        "upper": 0.56590871617218,
        "midpoint": 0.17468656570810936
      },
      "factors": [
        {
          "key": "powerfulAi",
          "label": "P(powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.3296543487999956,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.5,
          "midpoint": 0.8296543487999957
        },
        {
          "key": "dangerousBehavior",
          "label": "P(dangerous behavior | powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.6062259584994066,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.25,
          "midpoint": 0.8562259584994066
        },
        {
          "key": "globalCatastrophe",
          "label": "P(global catastrophe | dangerous behavior)",
          "lower": 0,
          "upper": 0.56590871617218,
          "spread": 0.32,
          "midpoint": 0.2459087161721799
        }
      ],
      "quiz_flow_id": "expert",
      "quiz_answers": [
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-continuous-learning-rag",
            "expert-continuous-learning-tool-based",
            "expert-continuous-learning-finetuning"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-continuous-learning"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-self-improvement-prompting",
            "expert-self-improvement-coding",
            "expert-self-improvement-synthetic-data",
            "expert-self-improvement-rewrite-itself"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-self-improvement"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-self-replication-biology",
            "expert-self-replication-cellular-automata",
            "expert-self-replication-software",
            "expert-self-replication-3d-printing",
            "expert-self-replication-von-neumann-probe"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-self-replication"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-campaign-organisations-pauseai",
            "expert-campaign-organisations-controlai"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-campaign-organisations"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [],
          "question_id": "expert-research-organisations"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-commentators-doom-debates"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-commentators"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [],
          "question_id": "expert-content-creators"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "expert-money-accelerating-defensive-technologies",
          "question_id": "expert-money-alignment"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "submitted_at": "2026-08-03T14:10:47.445+00:00",
      "summary": {
        "p10": 0.03096766841388079,
        "p90": 0.40823336256636755,
        "lower": 0.0012627835246157644,
        "upper": 1,
        "midpoint": 0.6347991552317868
      },
      "factors": [
        {
          "key": "powerfulAi",
          "label": "P(powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.031508840186607615,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.713,
          "midpoint": 0.7445088401866076
        },
        {
          "key": "dangerousBehavior",
          "label": "P(dangerous behavior | powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.13964152816866132,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.713,
          "midpoint": 0.8526415281686613
        },
        {
          "key": "globalCatastrophe",
          "label": "P(global catastrophe | dangerous behavior)",
          "lower": 0.28700000000000003,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.713,
          "midpoint": 1
        }
      ],
      "quiz_flow_id": "medium",
      "quiz_answers": [
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "medium-vulnerabilities-phishing",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-malware",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-ransomware",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-zero-day",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-prompt-injection",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-sleeper-agent",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-data-poisoning"
          ],
          "question_id": "medium-vulnerabilities"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-system-prompts-none",
          "question_id": "medium-system-prompts"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-off-the-rails-never",
          "question_id": "medium-off-the-rails"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-competition-negative",
          "question_id": "medium-competition"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-governance-neutral",
          "question_id": "medium-governance"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-speed-risk",
          "question_id": "medium-speed"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "submitted_at": "2026-08-03T14:32:44.545+00:00",
      "summary": {
        "p10": 0.006229207417217999,
        "p90": 0.328430878398638,
        "lower": 0,
        "upper": 1,
        "midpoint": 0.6886496686095921
      },
      "factors": [
        {
          "key": "powerfulAi",
          "label": "P(powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.009000000000000057,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.875,
          "midpoint": 0.884
        },
        {
          "key": "dangerousBehavior",
          "label": "P(dangerous behavior | powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.012449849012317599,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.905,
          "midpoint": 0.9174498490123176
        },
        {
          "key": "globalCatastrophe",
          "label": "P(global catastrophe | dangerous behavior)",
          "lower": 0,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.9,
          "midpoint": 0.849109586825586
        }
      ],
      "quiz_flow_id": "expert",
      "quiz_answers": [
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-continuous-learning-finetuning"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-continuous-learning"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-self-improvement-prompting",
            "expert-self-improvement-coding",
            "expert-self-improvement-synthetic-data",
            "expert-self-improvement-rewrite-itself"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-self-improvement"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-self-replication-biology",
            "expert-self-replication-cellular-automata",
            "expert-self-replication-software",
            "expert-self-replication-3d-printing",
            "expert-self-replication-von-neumann-probe"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-self-replication"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-campaign-organisations-pauseai"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-campaign-organisations"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-research-organisations-aisi"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-research-organisations"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [],
          "question_id": "expert-commentators"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [],
          "question_id": "expert-content-creators"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "expert-money-not-spending-enough",
          "question_id": "expert-money-alignment"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "submitted_at": "2026-08-03T14:54:41.778+00:00",
      "summary": {
        "p10": 0.005556423042494236,
        "p90": 0.2539801115241003,
        "lower": 0,
        "upper": 0.7640605278120236,
        "midpoint": 0.11798745790475737
      },
      "factors": [
        {
          "key": "powerfulAi",
          "label": "P(powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.04839631754474297,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.9,
          "midpoint": 0.948396317544743
        },
        {
          "key": "dangerousBehavior",
          "label": "P(dangerous behavior | powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.514,
          "midpoint": 0.49750888545809796
        },
        {
          "key": "globalCatastrophe",
          "label": "P(global catastrophe | dangerous behavior)",
          "lower": 0,
          "upper": 0.7640605278120236,
          "spread": 0.514,
          "midpoint": 0.2500605278120236
        }
      ],
      "quiz_flow_id": "expert",
      "quiz_answers": [
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-continuous-learning-rag",
            "expert-continuous-learning-tool-based",
            "expert-continuous-learning-finetuning"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-continuous-learning"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-self-improvement-prompting",
            "expert-self-improvement-coding",
            "expert-self-improvement-synthetic-data",
            "expert-self-improvement-rewrite-itself"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-self-improvement"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-self-replication-biology",
            "expert-self-replication-cellular-automata",
            "expert-self-replication-software",
            "expert-self-replication-3d-printing",
            "expert-self-replication-von-neumann-probe"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-self-replication"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-campaign-organisations-pauseai"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-campaign-organisations"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [],
          "question_id": "expert-research-organisations"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [],
          "question_id": "expert-commentators"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [],
          "question_id": "expert-content-creators"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "expert-money-not-spending-enough",
          "question_id": "expert-money-alignment"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "submitted_at": "2026-08-03T16:06:08.042+00:00",
      "summary": {
        "p10": 0.006690558298555759,
        "p90": 0.2649453982603072,
        "lower": 0,
        "upper": 0.7717994155299344,
        "midpoint": 0.05116784885978197
      },
      "factors": [
        {
          "key": "powerfulAi",
          "label": "P(powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.10472613199662632,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.59,
          "midpoint": 0.6947261319966264
        },
        {
          "key": "dangerousBehavior",
          "label": "P(dangerous behavior | powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0,
          "upper": 0.8541379619895413,
          "spread": 0.63,
          "midpoint": 0.22413796198954133
        },
        {
          "key": "globalCatastrophe",
          "label": "P(global catastrophe | dangerous behavior)",
          "lower": 0,
          "upper": 0.9036004133713763,
          "spread": 0.575,
          "midpoint": 0.32860041337137624
        }
      ],
      "quiz_flow_id": "expert",
      "quiz_answers": [
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [],
          "question_id": "expert-continuous-learning"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-self-improvement-prompting",
            "expert-self-improvement-coding",
            "expert-self-improvement-synthetic-data",
            "expert-self-improvement-rewrite-itself"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-self-improvement"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-self-replication-biology",
            "expert-self-replication-cellular-automata",
            "expert-self-replication-software",
            "expert-self-replication-3d-printing",
            "expert-self-replication-von-neumann-probe"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-self-replication"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-campaign-organisations-pauseai"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-campaign-organisations"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [],
          "question_id": "expert-research-organisations"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [],
          "question_id": "expert-commentators"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-content-creators-robert-miles",
            "expert-content-creators-rational-animations"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-content-creators"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "expert-money-not-spending-enough",
          "question_id": "expert-money-alignment"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "submitted_at": "2026-08-03T16:54:11.044+00:00",
      "summary": {
        "p10": 0.01779558907114309,
        "p90": 0.4905261159491649,
        "lower": 0,
        "upper": 1,
        "midpoint": 0.915498611
      },
      "factors": [
        {
          "key": "powerfulAi",
          "label": "P(powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.721,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.25,
          "midpoint": 0.971
        },
        {
          "key": "dangerousBehavior",
          "label": "P(dangerous behavior | powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.99,
          "midpoint": 0.971
        },
        {
          "key": "globalCatastrophe",
          "label": "P(global catastrophe | dangerous behavior)",
          "lower": 0,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.99,
          "midpoint": 0.971
        }
      ],
      "quiz_flow_id": "medium",
      "quiz_answers": [
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "medium-vulnerabilities-phishing",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-social-engineering",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-malware",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-ransomware",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-supply-chain",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-insider-threat",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-zero-day",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-injection",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-prompt-injection",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-sleeper-agent",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-data-poisoning",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-adversarial",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-model-stealing",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-obfuscation"
          ],
          "question_id": "medium-vulnerabilities"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-system-prompts-basic",
          "question_id": "medium-system-prompts"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-off-the-rails-never",
          "question_id": "medium-off-the-rails"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-competition-negative",
          "question_id": "medium-competition"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-governance-no",
          "question_id": "medium-governance"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-speed-risk",
          "question_id": "medium-speed"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "submitted_at": "2026-08-03T16:55:11.684+00:00",
      "summary": {
        "p10": 0.008429738120346753,
        "p90": 0.3416457618406488,
        "lower": 0,
        "upper": 1,
        "midpoint": 0.7145169840000001
      },
      "factors": [
        {
          "key": "powerfulAi",
          "label": "P(powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.09400000000000006,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.8,
          "midpoint": 0.894
        },
        {
          "key": "dangerousBehavior",
          "label": "P(dangerous behavior | powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.905,
          "midpoint": 0.894
        },
        {
          "key": "globalCatastrophe",
          "label": "P(global catastrophe | dangerous behavior)",
          "lower": 0,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.95,
          "midpoint": 0.894
        }
      ],
      "quiz_flow_id": "expert",
      "quiz_answers": [
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-continuous-learning-rag",
            "expert-continuous-learning-tool-based",
            "expert-continuous-learning-finetuning"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-continuous-learning"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-self-improvement-prompting",
            "expert-self-improvement-coding",
            "expert-self-improvement-synthetic-data",
            "expert-self-improvement-rewrite-itself"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-self-improvement"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-self-replication-biology",
            "expert-self-replication-cellular-automata",
            "expert-self-replication-software",
            "expert-self-replication-3d-printing",
            "expert-self-replication-von-neumann-probe"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-self-replication"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-campaign-organisations-pauseai",
            "expert-campaign-organisations-controlai",
            "expert-campaign-organisations-microcommit"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-campaign-organisations"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [],
          "question_id": "expert-research-organisations"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [],
          "question_id": "expert-commentators"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [],
          "question_id": "expert-content-creators"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "expert-money-not-spending-enough",
          "question_id": "expert-money-alignment"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "submitted_at": "2026-08-04T00:17:24.684+00:00",
      "summary": {
        "p10": 0.13119257711839497,
        "p90": 0.5418340845141132,
        "lower": 0.042479664232831255,
        "upper": 1,
        "midpoint": 0.6759925837375542
      },
      "factors": [
        {
          "key": "powerfulAi",
          "label": "P(powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.21452642328312493,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.6,
          "midpoint": 0.814526423283125
        },
        {
          "key": "dangerousBehavior",
          "label": "P(dangerous behavior | powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.4759999999999999,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.435,
          "midpoint": 0.9109999999999999
        },
        {
          "key": "globalCatastrophe",
          "label": "P(global catastrophe | dangerous behavior)",
          "lower": 0.4159999999999999,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.495,
          "midpoint": 0.9109999999999999
        }
      ],
      "quiz_flow_id": "beginner",
      "quiz_answers": [
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "entertainment-blackmirror",
            "entertainment-matrix",
            "entertainment-terminator",
            "entertainment-blade-runner",
            "entertainment-alien",
            "entertainment-ex-machina",
            "entertainment-her",
            "entertainment-startrek",
            "entertainment-starwars",
            "entertainment-2001",
            "entertainment-robocop",
            "entertainment-westworld",
            "entertainment-trumanshow",
            "entertainment-wargames",
            "entertainment-wall-e",
            "entertainment-silo",
            "entertainment-portal"
          ],
          "question_id": "beginner-entertainment"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "catastrophe-supernova",
            "catastrophe-gamma-ray-burst",
            "catastrophe-impactevent",
            "catastrophe-geomagneticstorm",
            "catastrophe-pandemic",
            "catastrophe-climatechange",
            "catastrophe-nuclearwar",
            "catastrophe-weaponofmassdestruction",
            "catastrophe-xriskai",
            "catastrophe-unknownunknowns"
          ],
          "question_id": "beginner-catastrophes"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "capability-protein-folding",
            "capability-companion",
            "capability-warfare",
            "capability-programming",
            "capability-mass-surveillance",
            "capability-trading",
            "capability-propaganda"
          ],
          "question_id": "beginner-capability"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "control-impossible",
          "question_id": "beginner-control"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "submitted_at": "2026-08-04T13:14:52.834+00:00",
      "summary": {
        "p10": 0.012409986297402215,
        "p90": 0.38503043393578984,
        "lower": 0,
        "upper": 1,
        "midpoint": 0.716917375
      },
      "factors": [
        {
          "key": "powerfulAi",
          "label": "P(powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.32,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.575,
          "midpoint": 0.895
        },
        {
          "key": "dangerousBehavior",
          "label": "P(dangerous behavior | powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 1,
          "midpoint": 0.895
        },
        {
          "key": "globalCatastrophe",
          "label": "P(global catastrophe | dangerous behavior)",
          "lower": 0,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 1,
          "midpoint": 0.895
        }
      ],
      "quiz_flow_id": "beginner",
      "quiz_answers": [
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "entertainment-matrix",
            "entertainment-terminator",
            "entertainment-blade-runner",
            "entertainment-alien",
            "entertainment-irobot",
            "entertainment-startrek",
            "entertainment-starwars",
            "entertainment-2001",
            "entertainment-judgedredd",
            "entertainment-robocop",
            "entertainment-trumanshow",
            "entertainment-wargames",
            "entertainment-wall-e",
            "entertainment-hitchhikersguide"
          ],
          "question_id": "beginner-entertainment"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "catastrophe-supernova",
            "catastrophe-impactevent",
            "catastrophe-pandemic",
            "catastrophe-climatechange",
            "catastrophe-nuclearwar",
            "catastrophe-weaponofmassdestruction"
          ],
          "question_id": "beginner-catastrophes"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "capability-warfare",
            "capability-programming",
            "capability-mass-surveillance",
            "capability-trading",
            "capability-research",
            "capability-propaganda"
          ],
          "question_id": "beginner-capability"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "control-impossible",
          "question_id": "beginner-control"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "submitted_at": "2026-08-04T13:15:01.358+00:00",
      "summary": {
        "p10": 0.012409986297402215,
        "p90": 0.38503043393578984,
        "lower": 0,
        "upper": 1,
        "midpoint": 0.716917375
      },
      "factors": [
        {
          "key": "powerfulAi",
          "label": "P(powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.32,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.575,
          "midpoint": 0.895
        },
        {
          "key": "dangerousBehavior",
          "label": "P(dangerous behavior | powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 1,
          "midpoint": 0.895
        },
        {
          "key": "globalCatastrophe",
          "label": "P(global catastrophe | dangerous behavior)",
          "lower": 0,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 1,
          "midpoint": 0.895
        }
      ],
      "quiz_flow_id": "beginner",
      "quiz_answers": [
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "entertainment-matrix",
            "entertainment-terminator",
            "entertainment-blade-runner",
            "entertainment-alien",
            "entertainment-irobot",
            "entertainment-startrek",
            "entertainment-starwars",
            "entertainment-2001",
            "entertainment-judgedredd",
            "entertainment-robocop",
            "entertainment-trumanshow",
            "entertainment-wargames",
            "entertainment-wall-e",
            "entertainment-hitchhikersguide"
          ],
          "question_id": "beginner-entertainment"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "catastrophe-supernova",
            "catastrophe-impactevent",
            "catastrophe-pandemic",
            "catastrophe-climatechange",
            "catastrophe-nuclearwar",
            "catastrophe-weaponofmassdestruction"
          ],
          "question_id": "beginner-catastrophes"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "capability-warfare",
            "capability-programming",
            "capability-mass-surveillance",
            "capability-trading",
            "capability-research",
            "capability-propaganda"
          ],
          "question_id": "beginner-capability"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "control-impossible",
          "question_id": "beginner-control"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "submitted_at": "2026-08-04T13:43:47.373+00:00",
      "summary": {
        "p10": 0.0252062519360419,
        "p90": 0.3723812008549812,
        "lower": 0.0008476019999999993,
        "upper": 1,
        "midpoint": 0.7610484969999999
      },
      "factors": [
        {
          "key": "powerfulAi",
          "label": "P(powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.09299999999999997,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.82,
          "midpoint": 0.9129999999999999
        },
        {
          "key": "dangerousBehavior",
          "label": "P(dangerous behavior | powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.09299999999999997,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.82,
          "midpoint": 0.9129999999999999
        },
        {
          "key": "globalCatastrophe",
          "label": "P(global catastrophe | dangerous behavior)",
          "lower": 0.09799999999999998,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.815,
          "midpoint": 0.9129999999999999
        }
      ],
      "quiz_flow_id": "beginner",
      "quiz_answers": [
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "entertainment-matrix",
            "entertainment-terminator",
            "entertainment-blade-runner",
            "entertainment-alien",
            "entertainment-irobot",
            "entertainment-2001",
            "entertainment-judgedredd",
            "entertainment-robocop",
            "entertainment-ghostintheshell",
            "entertainment-westworld",
            "entertainment-wargames",
            "entertainment-hitchhikersguide",
            "entertainment-ironman"
          ],
          "question_id": "beginner-entertainment"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "catastrophe-supervulcano",
            "catastrophe-supernova",
            "catastrophe-gamma-ray-burst",
            "catastrophe-impactevent",
            "catastrophe-geomagneticstorm",
            "catastrophe-pandemic",
            "catastrophe-climatechange",
            "catastrophe-nuclearwar",
            "catastrophe-weaponofmassdestruction",
            "catastrophe-xriskai",
            "catastrophe-unknownunknowns"
          ],
          "question_id": "beginner-catastrophes"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "capability-protein-folding",
            "capability-companion",
            "capability-warfare",
            "capability-programming",
            "capability-mass-surveillance",
            "capability-trading",
            "capability-research",
            "capability-propaganda"
          ],
          "question_id": "beginner-capability"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "control-impossible",
          "question_id": "beginner-control"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "submitted_at": "2026-08-05T04:57:19.054+00:00",
      "summary": {
        "p10": 0.0500223902503512,
        "p90": 0.42835694376753897,
        "lower": 0.005352394105591846,
        "upper": 1,
        "midpoint": 0.7461980279380014
      },
      "factors": [
        {
          "key": "powerfulAi",
          "label": "P(powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.09524737553634238,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.8,
          "midpoint": 0.8952473755363424
        },
        {
          "key": "dangerousBehavior",
          "label": "P(dangerous behavior | powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.20829296327833974,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.75,
          "midpoint": 0.9582929632783397
        },
        {
          "key": "globalCatastrophe",
          "label": "P(global catastrophe | dangerous behavior)",
          "lower": 0.26978665740976654,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.6,
          "midpoint": 0.8697866574097666
        }
      ],
      "quiz_flow_id": "beginner",
      "quiz_answers": [
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "entertainment-matrix",
            "entertainment-terminator",
            "entertainment-alien",
            "entertainment-starwars",
            "entertainment-2001",
            "entertainment-foundation",
            "entertainment-hitchhikersguide"
          ],
          "question_id": "beginner-entertainment"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "catastrophe-supervulcano",
            "catastrophe-supernova",
            "catastrophe-impactevent",
            "catastrophe-geomagneticstorm",
            "catastrophe-pandemic",
            "catastrophe-climatechange",
            "catastrophe-nuclearwar",
            "catastrophe-weaponofmassdestruction",
            "catastrophe-xriskai",
            "catastrophe-unknownunknowns"
          ],
          "question_id": "beginner-catastrophes"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "capability-companion",
            "capability-warfare",
            "capability-programming",
            "capability-mass-surveillance",
            "capability-trading",
            "capability-research",
            "capability-propaganda"
          ],
          "question_id": "beginner-capability"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "control-medium",
          "question_id": "beginner-control"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "submitted_at": "2026-08-05T05:55:40.681+00:00",
      "summary": {
        "p10": 0.10688479349429696,
        "p90": 0.5775307120116695,
        "lower": 0.030492000000000002,
        "upper": 0.94,
        "midpoint": 0.6250263749999999
      },
      "factors": [
        {
          "key": "powerfulAi",
          "label": "P(powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.77,
          "upper": 0.94,
          "spread": 0.085,
          "midpoint": 0.855
        },
        {
          "key": "dangerousBehavior",
          "label": "P(dangerous behavior | powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.36,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.495,
          "midpoint": 0.855
        },
        {
          "key": "globalCatastrophe",
          "label": "P(global catastrophe | dangerous behavior)",
          "lower": 0.11,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.745,
          "midpoint": 0.855
        }
      ],
      "quiz_flow_id": "medium",
      "quiz_answers": [
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "medium-vulnerabilities-prompt-injection",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-sleeper-agent",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-data-poisoning",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-adversarial",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-model-stealing"
          ],
          "question_id": "medium-vulnerabilities"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-system-prompts-basic",
          "question_id": "medium-system-prompts"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-off-the-rails-low",
          "question_id": "medium-off-the-rails"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-competition-neutral",
          "question_id": "medium-competition"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-governance-neutral",
          "question_id": "medium-governance"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-speed-risk",
          "question_id": "medium-speed"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "submitted_at": "2026-08-05T22:10:01.441+00:00",
      "summary": {
        "p10": 0.9785598855179605,
        "p90": 0.9952990883273044,
        "lower": 0.9740142895971687,
        "upper": 1,
        "midpoint": 0.9989088337659987
      },
      "factors": [
        {
          "key": "powerfulAi",
          "label": "P(powerful AI)",
          "lower": 1,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0,
          "midpoint": 1
        },
        {
          "key": "dangerousBehavior",
          "label": "P(dangerous behavior | powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.9789088337659987,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.02,
          "midpoint": 0.9989088337659987
        },
        {
          "key": "globalCatastrophe",
          "label": "P(global catastrophe | dangerous behavior)",
          "lower": 0.995,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.005,
          "midpoint": 1
        }
      ],
      "quiz_flow_id": "expert",
      "quiz_answers": [
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-continuous-learning-rag",
            "expert-continuous-learning-tool-based",
            "expert-continuous-learning-finetuning"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-continuous-learning"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-self-improvement-prompting",
            "expert-self-improvement-coding",
            "expert-self-improvement-synthetic-data",
            "expert-self-improvement-rewrite-itself"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-self-improvement"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-self-replication-biology",
            "expert-self-replication-cellular-automata",
            "expert-self-replication-software",
            "expert-self-replication-3d-printing",
            "expert-self-replication-von-neumann-probe"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-self-replication"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-campaign-organisations-pauseai"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-campaign-organisations"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-research-organisations-aisi"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-research-organisations"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [],
          "question_id": "expert-commentators"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [],
          "question_id": "expert-content-creators"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "expert-money-stop-funding-all-ai-research",
          "question_id": "expert-money-alignment"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "submitted_at": "2026-08-08T10:02:02.502+00:00",
      "summary": {
        "p10": 0.3761481732249902,
        "p90": 0.8199236043208217,
        "lower": 0.2797330011814109,
        "upper": 1,
        "midpoint": 0.690549110290365
      },
      "factors": [
        {
          "key": "powerfulAi",
          "label": "P(powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.943,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.035,
          "midpoint": 0.978
        },
        {
          "key": "dangerousBehavior",
          "label": "P(dangerous behavior | powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.3689937276317447,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.345,
          "midpoint": 0.7139937276317447
        },
        {
          "key": "globalCatastrophe",
          "label": "P(global catastrophe | dangerous behavior)",
          "lower": 0.8039203609662509,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.185,
          "midpoint": 0.9889203609662509
        }
      ],
      "quiz_flow_id": "medium",
      "quiz_answers": [
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "medium-vulnerabilities-phishing",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-social-engineering",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-malware",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-ransomware",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-supply-chain",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-mitm",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-insider-threat",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-zero-day",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-injection",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-prompt-injection"
          ],
          "question_id": "medium-vulnerabilities"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-system-prompts-medium",
          "question_id": "medium-system-prompts"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-off-the-rails-low",
          "question_id": "medium-off-the-rails"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-competition-negative",
          "question_id": "medium-competition"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-governance-no",
          "question_id": "medium-governance"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-speed-risk",
          "question_id": "medium-speed"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "submitted_at": "2026-08-08T10:02:08.237+00:00",
      "summary": {
        "p10": 0.3761481732249902,
        "p90": 0.8199236043208217,
        "lower": 0.2797330011814109,
        "upper": 1,
        "midpoint": 0.690549110290365
      },
      "factors": [
        {
          "key": "powerfulAi",
          "label": "P(powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.943,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.035,
          "midpoint": 0.978
        },
        {
          "key": "dangerousBehavior",
          "label": "P(dangerous behavior | powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.3689937276317447,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.345,
          "midpoint": 0.7139937276317447
        },
        {
          "key": "globalCatastrophe",
          "label": "P(global catastrophe | dangerous behavior)",
          "lower": 0.8039203609662509,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.185,
          "midpoint": 0.9889203609662509
        }
      ],
      "quiz_flow_id": "medium",
      "quiz_answers": [
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "medium-vulnerabilities-phishing",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-social-engineering",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-malware",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-ransomware",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-supply-chain",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-mitm",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-insider-threat",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-zero-day",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-injection",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-prompt-injection"
          ],
          "question_id": "medium-vulnerabilities"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-system-prompts-medium",
          "question_id": "medium-system-prompts"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-off-the-rails-low",
          "question_id": "medium-off-the-rails"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-competition-negative",
          "question_id": "medium-competition"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-governance-no",
          "question_id": "medium-governance"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-speed-risk",
          "question_id": "medium-speed"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "submitted_at": "2026-08-08T20:58:41.112+00:00",
      "summary": {
        "p10": 0.14109334101568563,
        "p90": 0.7068953288012316,
        "lower": 0.05474074184205418,
        "upper": 0.9925020838069258,
        "midpoint": 0.446526672726611
      },
      "factors": [
        {
          "key": "powerfulAi",
          "label": "P(powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.6925020838069258,
          "upper": 0.9925020838069258,
          "spread": 0.15,
          "midpoint": 0.8425020838069258
        },
        {
          "key": "dangerousBehavior",
          "label": "P(dangerous behavior | powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.8332814275971812,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.105,
          "midpoint": 0.9382814275971811
        },
        {
          "key": "globalCatastrophe",
          "label": "P(global catastrophe | dangerous behavior)",
          "lower": 0.09486322649086915,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.47,
          "midpoint": 0.5648632264908692
        }
      ],
      "quiz_flow_id": "expert",
      "quiz_answers": [
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-continuous-learning-rag",
            "expert-continuous-learning-tool-based",
            "expert-continuous-learning-finetuning"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-continuous-learning"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-self-improvement-prompting",
            "expert-self-improvement-coding",
            "expert-self-improvement-synthetic-data",
            "expert-self-improvement-rewrite-itself"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-self-improvement"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-self-replication-biology",
            "expert-self-replication-cellular-automata",
            "expert-self-replication-software",
            "expert-self-replication-3d-printing",
            "expert-self-replication-von-neumann-probe"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-self-replication"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-campaign-organisations-pauseai",
            "expert-campaign-organisations-controlai"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-campaign-organisations"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-research-organisations-aisi",
            "expert-research-organisations-redwood-research"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-research-organisations"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-commentators-doom-debates"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-commentators"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [],
          "question_id": "expert-content-creators"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "expert-money-accelerating-defensive-technologies",
          "question_id": "expert-money-alignment"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "submitted_at": "2026-08-09T14:56:00.712+00:00",
      "summary": {
        "p10": 0.1603624051033504,
        "p90": 0.6852961658129775,
        "lower": 0.06958298400000004,
        "upper": 1,
        "midpoint": 0.7265726990000001
      },
      "factors": [
        {
          "key": "powerfulAi",
          "label": "P(powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.794,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.105,
          "midpoint": 0.899
        },
        {
          "key": "dangerousBehavior",
          "label": "P(dangerous behavior | powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.654,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.245,
          "midpoint": 0.899
        },
        {
          "key": "globalCatastrophe",
          "label": "P(global catastrophe | dangerous behavior)",
          "lower": 0.13400000000000006,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.765,
          "midpoint": 0.899
        }
      ],
      "quiz_flow_id": "beginner",
      "quiz_answers": [
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "entertainment-blackmirror",
            "entertainment-matrix",
            "entertainment-terminator",
            "entertainment-starwars",
            "entertainment-trumanshow",
            "entertainment-wargames",
            "entertainment-wall-e"
          ],
          "question_id": "beginner-entertainment"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "catastrophe-impactevent",
            "catastrophe-geomagneticstorm",
            "catastrophe-pandemic",
            "catastrophe-climatechange",
            "catastrophe-nuclearwar",
            "catastrophe-weaponofmassdestruction",
            "catastrophe-xriskai",
            "catastrophe-sriskai",
            "catastrophe-unknownunknowns"
          ],
          "question_id": "beginner-catastrophes"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "capability-companion",
            "capability-warfare",
            "capability-programming",
            "capability-mass-surveillance",
            "capability-trading",
            "capability-research",
            "capability-propaganda"
          ],
          "question_id": "beginner-capability"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "control-impossible",
          "question_id": "beginner-control"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "submitted_at": "2026-08-13T07:30:46.818+00:00",
      "summary": {
        "p10": 0.3133967843979536,
        "p90": 0.6611196532171452,
        "lower": 0.17915963283666164,
        "upper": 1,
        "midpoint": 0.8219774631828977
      },
      "factors": [
        {
          "key": "powerfulAi",
          "label": "P(powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.563,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.373,
          "midpoint": 0.9359999999999999
        },
        {
          "key": "dangerousBehavior",
          "label": "P(dangerous behavior | powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.563,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.373,
          "midpoint": 0.9359999999999999
        },
        {
          "key": "globalCatastrophe",
          "label": "P(global catastrophe | dangerous behavior)",
          "lower": 0.5652276179584176,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.373,
          "midpoint": 0.9382276179584176
        }
      ],
      "quiz_flow_id": "medium",
      "quiz_answers": [
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "medium-vulnerabilities-phishing",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-social-engineering",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-malware",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-ransomware",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-supply-chain",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-mitm",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-insider-threat",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-zero-day",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-injection",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-prompt-injection",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-adversarial",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-model-stealing",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-obfuscation"
          ],
          "question_id": "medium-vulnerabilities"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-system-prompts-medium",
          "question_id": "medium-system-prompts"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-off-the-rails-high",
          "question_id": "medium-off-the-rails"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-competition-neutral",
          "question_id": "medium-competition"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-governance-no",
          "question_id": "medium-governance"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-speed-risk",
          "question_id": "medium-speed"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "submitted_at": "2026-08-18T00:55:00.591+00:00",
      "summary": {
        "p10": 0.05816366908024201,
        "p90": 0.5981700954920336,
        "lower": 0,
        "upper": 1,
        "midpoint": 0.6672122560157137
      },
      "factors": [
        {
          "key": "powerfulAi",
          "label": "P(powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 1,
          "midpoint": 0.899
        },
        {
          "key": "dangerousBehavior",
          "label": "P(dangerous behavior | powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.42055237622288727,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.405,
          "midpoint": 0.8255523762228872
        },
        {
          "key": "globalCatastrophe",
          "label": "P(global catastrophe | dangerous behavior)",
          "lower": 0.774,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.125,
          "midpoint": 0.899
        }
      ],
      "quiz_flow_id": "beginner",
      "quiz_answers": [
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "entertainment-blackmirror",
            "entertainment-matrix",
            "entertainment-terminator",
            "entertainment-blade-runner",
            "entertainment-her",
            "entertainment-startrek",
            "entertainment-starwars",
            "entertainment-westworld",
            "entertainment-trumanshow",
            "entertainment-wall-e",
            "entertainment-hitchhikersguide",
            "entertainment-ironman"
          ],
          "question_id": "beginner-entertainment"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "catastrophe-supernova",
            "catastrophe-impactevent",
            "catastrophe-geomagneticstorm",
            "catastrophe-pandemic",
            "catastrophe-climatechange",
            "catastrophe-nuclearwar",
            "catastrophe-weaponofmassdestruction"
          ],
          "question_id": "beginner-catastrophes"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "capability-protein-folding",
            "capability-companion",
            "capability-programming",
            "capability-mass-surveillance",
            "capability-trading",
            "capability-research",
            "capability-propaganda"
          ],
          "question_id": "beginner-capability"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "control-impossible",
          "question_id": "beginner-control"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "submitted_at": "2026-08-18T18:51:01.456+00:00",
      "summary": {
        "p10": 0.13126565607349858,
        "p90": 0.5671896586767123,
        "lower": 0.04385249400000003,
        "upper": 1,
        "midpoint": 0.9527639040000003
      },
      "factors": [
        {
          "key": "powerfulAi",
          "label": "P(powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.3990000000000001,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.585,
          "midpoint": 0.9840000000000001
        },
        {
          "key": "dangerousBehavior",
          "label": "P(dangerous behavior | powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.6140000000000001,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.37,
          "midpoint": 0.9840000000000001
        },
        {
          "key": "globalCatastrophe",
          "label": "P(global catastrophe | dangerous behavior)",
          "lower": 0.17900000000000005,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.805,
          "midpoint": 0.9840000000000001
        }
      ],
      "quiz_flow_id": "medium",
      "quiz_answers": [
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "medium-vulnerabilities-phishing",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-social-engineering",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-malware",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-ransomware",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-supply-chain",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-mitm",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-insider-threat",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-zero-day",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-injection",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-prompt-injection",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-sleeper-agent",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-data-poisoning",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-adversarial",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-model-stealing",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-obfuscation",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-side-channel"
          ],
          "question_id": "medium-vulnerabilities"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-system-prompts-none",
          "question_id": "medium-system-prompts"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-off-the-rails-bypass",
          "question_id": "medium-off-the-rails"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-competition-negative",
          "question_id": "medium-competition"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-governance-no",
          "question_id": "medium-governance"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-speed-risk",
          "question_id": "medium-speed"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "submitted_at": "2026-08-18T21:38:38.657+00:00",
      "summary": {
        "p10": 0.004801613597672242,
        "p90": 0.3252763698558234,
        "lower": 0,
        "upper": 1,
        "midpoint": 1
      },
      "factors": [
        {
          "key": "powerfulAi",
          "label": "P(powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 1,
          "midpoint": 1
        },
        {
          "key": "dangerousBehavior",
          "label": "P(dangerous behavior | powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 1,
          "midpoint": 1
        },
        {
          "key": "globalCatastrophe",
          "label": "P(global catastrophe | dangerous behavior)",
          "lower": 0,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 1,
          "midpoint": 1
        }
      ],
      "quiz_flow_id": "expert",
      "quiz_answers": [
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-continuous-learning-rag",
            "expert-continuous-learning-tool-based",
            "expert-continuous-learning-finetuning"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-continuous-learning"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-self-improvement-prompting",
            "expert-self-improvement-coding",
            "expert-self-improvement-synthetic-data",
            "expert-self-improvement-rewrite-itself"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-self-improvement"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-self-replication-biology",
            "expert-self-replication-cellular-automata",
            "expert-self-replication-software",
            "expert-self-replication-3d-printing",
            "expert-self-replication-von-neumann-probe"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-self-replication"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-campaign-organisations-pauseai",
            "expert-campaign-organisations-controlai",
            "expert-campaign-organisations-microcommit"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-campaign-organisations"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-research-organisations-aisi",
            "expert-research-organisations-redwood-research"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-research-organisations"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-commentators-doom-debates",
            "expert-commentators-dont-worry-about-the-vase"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-commentators"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-content-creators-robert-miles",
            "expert-content-creators-siliconversations",
            "expert-content-creators-lethal-intelligence",
            "expert-content-creators-rational-animations",
            "expert-content-creators-axiomatic-extinction"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-content-creators"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "expert-money-stop-funding-all-ai-research",
          "question_id": "expert-money-alignment"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "submitted_at": "2026-08-18T22:47:47.954+00:00",
      "summary": {
        "p10": 0.15879680594642498,
        "p90": 0.5431621068675198,
        "lower": 0.05706662500000003,
        "upper": 1,
        "midpoint": 0.9098532090000002
      },
      "factors": [
        {
          "key": "powerfulAi",
          "label": "P(powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.38500000000000006,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.584,
          "midpoint": 0.9690000000000001
        },
        {
          "key": "dangerousBehavior",
          "label": "P(dangerous behavior | powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.38500000000000006,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.584,
          "midpoint": 0.9690000000000001
        },
        {
          "key": "globalCatastrophe",
          "label": "P(global catastrophe | dangerous behavior)",
          "lower": 0.38500000000000006,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.584,
          "midpoint": 0.9690000000000001
        }
      ],
      "quiz_flow_id": "medium",
      "quiz_answers": [
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "medium-vulnerabilities-phishing",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-social-engineering",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-malware",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-ransomware",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-supply-chain",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-insider-threat",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-zero-day",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-prompt-injection",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-sleeper-agent",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-data-poisoning",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-adversarial",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-model-stealing"
          ],
          "question_id": "medium-vulnerabilities"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-system-prompts-basic",
          "question_id": "medium-system-prompts"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-off-the-rails-never",
          "question_id": "medium-off-the-rails"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-competition-negative",
          "question_id": "medium-competition"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-governance-no",
          "question_id": "medium-governance"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-speed-risk",
          "question_id": "medium-speed"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "submitted_at": "2026-08-18T23:26:18.631+00:00",
      "summary": {
        "p10": 0.17369709040209363,
        "p90": 0.6694126401337018,
        "lower": 0.07961102597968757,
        "upper": 1,
        "midpoint": 0.9631690237883469
      },
      "factors": [
        {
          "key": "powerfulAi",
          "label": "P(powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.16665889974994313,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.82,
          "midpoint": 0.9866588997499431
        },
        {
          "key": "dangerousBehavior",
          "label": "P(dangerous behavior | powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.6411925058725468,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.335,
          "midpoint": 0.9761925058725468
        },
        {
          "key": "globalCatastrophe",
          "label": "P(global catastrophe | dangerous behavior)",
          "lower": 0.745,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.255,
          "midpoint": 1
        }
      ],
      "quiz_flow_id": "expert",
      "quiz_answers": [
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-continuous-learning-rag",
            "expert-continuous-learning-tool-based",
            "expert-continuous-learning-finetuning"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-continuous-learning"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-self-improvement-prompting",
            "expert-self-improvement-coding",
            "expert-self-improvement-synthetic-data",
            "expert-self-improvement-rewrite-itself"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-self-improvement"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-self-replication-biology",
            "expert-self-replication-software",
            "expert-self-replication-von-neumann-probe"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-self-replication"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [],
          "question_id": "expert-campaign-organisations"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-research-organisations-aisi"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-research-organisations"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [],
          "question_id": "expert-commentators"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [],
          "question_id": "expert-content-creators"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "expert-money-not-spending-enough",
          "question_id": "expert-money-alignment"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "submitted_at": "2026-08-18T23:26:26.268+00:00",
      "summary": {
        "p10": 0.17369709040209363,
        "p90": 0.6694126401337018,
        "lower": 0.07961102597968757,
        "upper": 1,
        "midpoint": 0.9631690237883469
      },
      "factors": [
        {
          "key": "powerfulAi",
          "label": "P(powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.16665889974994313,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.82,
          "midpoint": 0.9866588997499431
        },
        {
          "key": "dangerousBehavior",
          "label": "P(dangerous behavior | powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.6411925058725468,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.335,
          "midpoint": 0.9761925058725468
        },
        {
          "key": "globalCatastrophe",
          "label": "P(global catastrophe | dangerous behavior)",
          "lower": 0.745,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.255,
          "midpoint": 1
        }
      ],
      "quiz_flow_id": "expert",
      "quiz_answers": [
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-continuous-learning-rag",
            "expert-continuous-learning-tool-based",
            "expert-continuous-learning-finetuning"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-continuous-learning"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-self-improvement-prompting",
            "expert-self-improvement-coding",
            "expert-self-improvement-synthetic-data",
            "expert-self-improvement-rewrite-itself"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-self-improvement"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-self-replication-biology",
            "expert-self-replication-software",
            "expert-self-replication-von-neumann-probe"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-self-replication"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [],
          "question_id": "expert-campaign-organisations"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-research-organisations-aisi"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-research-organisations"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [],
          "question_id": "expert-commentators"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [],
          "question_id": "expert-content-creators"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "expert-money-not-spending-enough",
          "question_id": "expert-money-alignment"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "submitted_at": "2026-08-18T23:55:49.397+00:00",
      "summary": {
        "p10": 0.13660930639021754,
        "p90": 0.5189495770512625,
        "lower": 0.050230612602194996,
        "upper": 0.9000485365659273,
        "midpoint": 0.33666189578690003
      },
      "factors": [
        {
          "key": "powerfulAi",
          "label": "P(powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.5000485365659273,
          "upper": 0.9000485365659273,
          "spread": 0.2,
          "midpoint": 0.7000485365659272
        },
        {
          "key": "dangerousBehavior",
          "label": "P(dangerous behavior | powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.5006789939233462,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.3,
          "midpoint": 0.8006789939233463
        },
        {
          "key": "globalCatastrophe",
          "label": "P(global catastrophe | dangerous behavior)",
          "lower": 0.20063049435739289,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.4,
          "midpoint": 0.6006304943573929
        }
      ],
      "quiz_flow_id": "expert",
      "quiz_answers": [
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-continuous-learning-rag",
            "expert-continuous-learning-tool-based",
            "expert-continuous-learning-finetuning"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-continuous-learning"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-self-improvement-prompting",
            "expert-self-improvement-coding",
            "expert-self-improvement-synthetic-data",
            "expert-self-improvement-rewrite-itself"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-self-improvement"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-self-replication-biology",
            "expert-self-replication-cellular-automata",
            "expert-self-replication-software",
            "expert-self-replication-3d-printing",
            "expert-self-replication-von-neumann-probe"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-self-replication"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-campaign-organisations-pauseai",
            "expert-campaign-organisations-controlai",
            "expert-campaign-organisations-microcommit"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-campaign-organisations"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-research-organisations-aisi",
            "expert-research-organisations-redwood-research"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-research-organisations"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-commentators-doom-debates",
            "expert-commentators-dont-worry-about-the-vase"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-commentators"
        },
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "expert-content-creators-robert-miles",
            "expert-content-creators-siliconversations",
            "expert-content-creators-lethal-intelligence",
            "expert-content-creators-rational-animations"
          ],
          "question_id": "expert-content-creators"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "expert-money-not-spending-enough",
          "question_id": "expert-money-alignment"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "submitted_at": "2026-08-19T02:39:51.139+00:00",
      "summary": {
        "p10": 0.438473852324583,
        "p90": 0.6035705668920949,
        "lower": 0.3647360700120394,
        "upper": 0.7090898540633068,
        "midpoint": 0.5765924385070512
      },
      "factors": [
        {
          "key": "powerfulAi",
          "label": "P(powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.7959626599355906,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.165,
          "midpoint": 0.9609626599355906
        },
        {
          "key": "dangerousBehavior",
          "label": "P(dangerous behavior | powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.509089854063307,
          "upper": 0.7090898540633068,
          "spread": 0.1,
          "midpoint": 0.609089854063307
        },
        {
          "key": "globalCatastrophe",
          "label": "P(global catastrophe | dangerous behavior)",
          "lower": 0.900101691473003,
          "upper": 1,
          "spread": 0.085,
          "midpoint": 0.9851016914730031
        }
      ],
      "quiz_flow_id": "medium",
      "quiz_answers": [
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
            "medium-vulnerabilities-phishing",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-social-engineering",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-malware",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-ransomware",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-supply-chain",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-mitm",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-insider-threat",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-zero-day",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-injection",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-prompt-injection",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-sleeper-agent",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-data-poisoning",
            "medium-vulnerabilities-obfuscation"
          ],
          "question_id": "medium-vulnerabilities"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-system-prompts-medium",
          "question_id": "medium-system-prompts"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-off-the-rails-high",
          "question_id": "medium-off-the-rails"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-competition-negative",
          "question_id": "medium-competition"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-governance-no",
          "question_id": "medium-governance"
        },
        {
          "type": "single",
          "value": "medium-speed-risk",
          "question_id": "medium-speed"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "submitted_at": "2026-08-20T10:55:42.492+00:00",
      "summary": {
        "p10": 0.00034931906069049116,
        "p90": 0.0052890294524060855,
        "lower": 0,
        "upper": 0.012677083287893633,
        "midpoint": 0
      },
      "factors": [
        {
          "key": "powerfulAi",
          "label": "P(powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0.1646729792230823,
          "upper": 0.45467297922308236,
          "spread": 0.145,
          "midpoint": 0.3096729792230823
        },
        {
          "key": "dangerousBehavior",
          "label": "P(dangerous behavior | powerful AI)",
          "lower": 0,
          "upper": 0.12,
          "spread": 0.12,
          "midpoint": 0
        },
        {
          "key": "globalCatastrophe",
          "label": "P(global catastrophe | dangerous behavior)",
          "lower": 0.03234800738095808,
          "upper": 0.23234800738095807,
          "spread": 0.1,
          "midpoint": 0.1323480073809581
        }
      ],
      "quiz_flow_id": "medium",
      "quiz_answers": [
        {
          "type": "multi-select",
          "values": [
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}